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UK and Eurozone Inflation in Focus, Alongside Japan Growth and US Business Activity
UK and Eurozone Inflation in Focus, Alongside Japan Growth and US Business Activity
Brief:
Energy-driven inflation pressures remain a key market focus, while policy expectations in Europe and Japan are shifting toward further tightening. Meanwhile, softer US employment data has reduced near-term Fed hike expectations on dollar. Japan’s GDP, UK and Eurozone inflation, and US business activity data will test whether these policy expectations can gain further momentum.
Key Event to Watch:
Japan Q2 GDP – Monday
Monday’s Japan’s GDP will test whether the economy can maintain growth. Higher energy import costs and a weaker yen forced government cut its FY2026 growth forecast from 1.3% to 0.9%. A weaker-than-expected reading could further reduce expectations for BOJ rate hike and pressure the yen.
UK and Eurozone July CPI – Wednesday
Wednesday’s UK and Eurozone inflation will show whether price pressures are continuing to build. A stronger UK CPI reading could lift rate-hike expectations and support sterling. For the eurozone, an upward revision or stronger services inflation could support the euro.
US August Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index – Thursday
Thursday’s Philadelphia Fed index will provide the latest signal on US manufacturing activity. Following weaker-than-expected payroll data, markets have increased bets on September Fed rate cut. A stronger reading could support the view that the economy can still withstand high interest rates.
US August S&P Global Services PMI Flash – Friday
Friday’s Services PMI will offer another signal on US growth momentum. Activity strengthened in July, with the services PMI flash rising to 53.6, although weaker employment data has kept the outlook uncertain. A clear acceleration in August could help restore confidence in the US economy.
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