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美元兑日元飙至1986年以来最高水平

尽管美元指数 从近期高点小幅回落，但仍稳稳锚定在接近13个月的高位。至关重要的是，美元对日元延续了激进的涨势，推高美元兑日元盘至 1986年 以来的最高交易水平（突破 162.30 关口）。

美元兑日元飙至1986年以来最高水平

利差仍是核心驱动力

欧洲央行在辛特拉举行的年度中央银行政策论坛正在进行中，市场参与者正猛烈消化新任美联储主席凯文·沃什所释放的鹰派基调。

对美国收益率将长期维持在高位的预期正彻底吞噬日元，因为联邦储备局与持谨慎态度的日本央行 (BoJ) 之间的利率差距仍在持续扩大。

与此同时，激进的日元做空情绪继续令日元汇率承压。市场已基本消化了日本央行小幅加息的预期，而日本国债 (JGB) 收益率曲线的陡峭上升，更凸显了这个高债务国家货币的结构性脆弱，使其对投资者失去吸引力。

日元接下来的动向？

随着美元/日元突破数十年来的历史性阻力位，交易员正高度警惕日本财务省 (MoF) 随时可能实施的突发性、紧急口头或直接入场干预。然而，从技术面来看，除非出现重大宏观或政策意外，否则美元/日元整体仍将维持看涨趋势。

了解更多有关美元/日元的技术分析与前景展望，请阅读 Ultima Markets 的今日最新市场展望。

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