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科技股拖累，美股恐创周跌幅

美国华尔街股市本周预计将录得周线收跌，主要受到科技板块大范围重挫的拖累。标普500指数 (S&P 500) 和纳斯达克100指数 预计都将以强劲的看跌大阴线收盘，从而中断了近期的上涨动能。相比之下，道琼斯工业平均指数则受到明显板块轮动的保护，成功获得了不错的支撑。

美联储加息担忧催生看跌

顽固的通胀压力持续强化了美联储的鹰派展望。美国 PCE 物价指数同比飙升至 4.1% 上方，显著加剧了市场对货币政策进一步收紧的焦虑。

市场对美联储进行“鹰派加息”的预期正在猛烈打击风险偏好。这使此前带领大盘冲向历史高位的高估值科技巨头和人工智能 (AI) 板块承受了沉重的估值压力。随着投资者抛售高价科技成长股，资金正积极轮动至工业和医疗等周期性与价值型板块，为蓝筹股道琼斯指数提供了核心支撑，对冲了整体大盘暴跌带来的冲击。

接下来的动向

在技术面上，市场正密切关注本周收盘时纳斯达克100指数的阴线实体，以判断是否会确认更深层次的结构性回调。如果美联储的鹰派叙事在下周进一步固化，抛售压力可能会从科技板块蔓延至更多大盘股和指数成分股。

投资者将密切关注接下来央行官员的公开表态，以观察是否有人会对市场上日益升温的 2026 年底加息预期进行鹰派反驳。

阅读 Ultima Markets 的今日最新纳斯达克100指数的技术分析。

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本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料仅供参考，旨在帮助读者了解市场形势，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的绝对准确性，并可能随时更改，恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets对于因直接或间接使用或依赖此类资料而可能导致的任何损失或亏损（包括但不限于利润损失）不承担责任。

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