US Dollar Index: Bearish Trend Remains Firmly in Place

In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets presents an insightful breakdown of the USDX as of September 2, 2025.

Technical Analysis of USDX

USDX Daily Chart Insight

• Stochastic Oscillator: The indicator shows a recent bearish crossover in the lower range, suggesting weakening momentum and the potential retesting of recent lows.

• Key support area: The immediate support zone sits around 97.00 – 96.80, where the price has repeatedly found buying interest during recent consolidation. Critical support lies at approximately 96.47, representing the recent low of the downtrend from late June to early July, with a break below this level signaling significant bearish momentum.

USDX 2-Hour Chart Analysis

• The 2-hour chart presents a predominantly bearish outlook, with the index establishing a clear short-term downtrend through consecutive lower highs and lower lows following the August 26th peak.

• Breakout scenarios: Immediate support is found at approximately 97.45, marking the recent low from September 1st and representing the key level sellers must breach to extend the downtrend. Should this level fail, secondary support at around 97.35becomes the next target, corresponding to the August 22nd swing low. Conversely, Immediate resistance lies between 97.65 – 97.70, where recent consolidation highs converge with the short-term moving average acting as dynamic resistance. A more significant resistance zone spans 98.00 – 98.10, featuring a confluence of previous support-turned-resistance and the convergence of medium-term and long-term moving averages, creating a strong ceiling against potential bullish rallies.

USDX Pivot Indicator

• The Stochastic oscillator has surged from oversold territory below 20 and now sits in the upper range, signaling growing short-term bullish momentum. However, this likely represents a corrective bounce within the broader downtrend rather than a reversal, particularly as the price encounters key resistance levels.

• Bearish Breakdown: Given the prevailing downtrend, the most probable outcome is rejection at current resistance levels followed by renewed selling pressure. A decisive break below critical support at 97.47 would signal the end of the corrective bounce and confirm downtrend resumption, opening the path toward new lows.

• Bullish Breakout: Bulls require a decisive close above immediate resistance at 97.70 to regain temporary control, which would negate current selling pressure and likely extend the corrective rally toward major resistance between 97.85 – 97.90. Only a break above this major zone would meaningfully challenge the overall bearish structure on this timeframe.

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Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.