In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the USDCAD for 24th April 2024.
Key Takeaways
- Bank of Canada meeting minutes: Bank of Canada is expected to release the meeting minutes for its previous policy meeting soon. Previously, Canada’s inflation in March rose slightly, with expectation for a possible rate cut in June. Currently, expectation for a rate cut in June rose stands at 65%. For the time being, focus will be placed on the meeting minutes to see the likelihood of rate cuts and further policy guidance.
- Crude oil prices: Oil price rebounded slightly, boosting Canadian dollar in the process due to its status as a commodity-linked currency. Rising oil prices may alleviate Canada’s external inflationary pressure which in return stabilizes its local domestic prices.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart Insights
- Stochastic oscillator: The pair extended its downside bias following the formation of bearish signal on Wednesday. With the signal line approaching 50-midline, we may see a continuation in downside bias for short-term.
- Support line: Yesterday, the pair fell below the green upward trendline, indicating a change in structural momentum towards the downside. Next target will be looking towards the black support line which coincides with 33-MA line (red).
4-hour Chart Analysis
- Stochastic oscillator: The indicator oscillates within the oversold threshold, suggesting a possible end to downside bias with a higher tendency for a rebound.
- Head and shoulders pattern: The pair breakthrough its previous green neckline of head and shoulders pattern, signifying downside bias for mid-term. With overall price action continuing to show weakness, the next target to look ahead will be around 1.3635, which is the previous strong support .
- Moving average pattern: The short-term 33-MA line (red) is expected to cross over 65-MA line (black), which theoretically forms bullish crossover. This signal hints for a possible reversal towards the upside in the short term.
Pivot Indicator
- According to the trading central in Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is established at 1.3690,
- Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 1.3690, first target 1.3715, second target 1.3740;
- Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 1.3690, first target 1.3645, second target 1.3625.
Conclusion
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