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EURUSD: Recovery Holds Above 1.1595 Pivot

In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of EURUSD for September 01, 2026.

Technical Analysis of EURUSD

EURUSD Daily Chart Insight

(EURUSD Daily Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT5)

EURUSD maintains a recovering daily structure after rebounding strongly from its July lows, although the broader trend has not yet returned to a fully bullish alignment. Price is currently around 1.1615, holding above the blue 100-period moving average and well above the purple 50-period moving average, while trading close to the rising red 16-period moving average.

The MA16 has turned sharply higher, supporting the recent recovery, but the MA50 remains below the MA100, showing that the medium-term structure is still rebuilding. Daily RSI stands at 56.30, keeping momentum moderately positive without signalling an extreme condition. Buyers retain a near-term advantage while price stays above the MA100 area, but confirmation requires EURUSD to reclaim the recent 1.1680–1.1713 resistance zone.

Key Levels:

  • Support 1 (1.1580–1.1590): Immediate support around the blue 100-period moving average (MA100) and the latest pullback area.
  • Support 2 (1.1548–1.1550): A visible consolidation and reaction zone from the recent recovery.
  • Support 3 (1.1482–1.1450): Lower support around the rising purple 50-period moving average (MA50) and previous price structure.
  • Resistance 1 (1.1647–1.1680): Immediate resistance formed by the recent August pullback highs.
  • Resistance 2 (1.1713): The next visible resistance above the recent rebound.
  • Resistance 3 (1.1779–1.1812): A broader resistance zone marked by earlier swing highs.

EURUSD 2-Hour Chart Analysis

(EURUSD 2-Hour Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT5)

EURUSD is attempting a short-term rebound on the 2-hour chart following the sharp decline on August 28, but the recovery remains technically incomplete. Price near 1.1615 has moved back above the rising red 16-period moving average , while remaining below the declining purple 50-period moving average and the blue 100-period moving average. This keeps the broader H2 structure neutral-to-bearish despite improving short-term momentum.

RSI has recovered to 48.98, indicating that selling pressure has eased, although momentum has not yet moved decisively into bullish territory. The latest candles are consolidating after the rebound, suggesting that a temporary sideways pause is possible before the next directional move.

Breakout Scenarios:

  • Bullish continuation is a possible scenario, triggered by a decisive break and hold above 1.1626. This would expose the 1.1635 area near the purple 50-period moving average (MA50), followed by the 1.1653 region around the blue 100-period moving average (MA100).
  • Bearish correction is also a possible scenario, triggered by a failure to hold the 1.1608–1.1599 area followed by a decisive breakdown. The next visible downside targets would be around 1.1581 and the recent low near 1.1572.

EURUSD Pivot Indicator

(EURUSD 30-Minute Chart, Source: Trading Central)

EURUSD is trading at 1.1610, remaining above the 1.1595 main pivot, which keeps the immediate M30 bias cautiously bullish. Price has recovered from the recent decline but is now consolidating below the 1.1643 resistance, suggesting that upside momentum has temporarily slowed.

RSI has fallen to 45.98 and moved below its 9-period average, indicating weakening short-term momentum. Meanwhile, MACD remains close to the 0.00 line, with the MACD and signal lines converging and turning lower. The broader recovery remains intact above 1.1595, but momentum indicators suggest further confirmation is needed before another upside extension.

  • Bullish Breakout: The bullish preference remains valid while EURUSD holds above 1.1595. A renewed advance would first target 1.1643, followed by 1.1657. Stronger confirmation would come from RSI recovering above 50 and its 9-period average, alongside MACD turning higher and maintaining strength above the 0.00 line.
  • Bearish Rejection: The immediate bias would shift bearish if EURUSD breaks decisively below 1.1595. This would expose 1.1572 as the first downside target, followed by 1.1559. Bearish confirmation would strengthen if RSI remains below 50 while MACD crosses below its signal line and falls beneath 0.00.

Disclaimer Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.

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