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Risk Aversion rise as U.S. Shutdown Hits

UM Editor

October 1, 2025 at 4:48 pm

Global risk sentiment soured on Wednesday after the U.S. government entered a partial shutdown, with lawmakers failing to pass a funding deal before the deadline. The political deadlock in Washington has sparked a wave of risk aversion across financial markets, sending equities lower worldwide.

U.S. and European stock indices slipped in early trade, while Asian markets also weakened as investors braced for prolonged uncertainty.

Safe-Haven Demand Surges

Safe-haven demand accelerated, lifting gold to another record high above $3,819 per ounce. The Japanese yen also rallied strongly, benefiting from its safe-haven status, with USD/JPY retreating as investors cut risk exposure.

Traders noted that volatility is likely to remain elevated as the shutdown disrupts government operations and threatens to delay critical U.S. economic data releases, including the September nonfarm payrolls report.

While history suggests shutdowns typically have limited long-term economic impact, markets are now focused on how the disruption may complicate Federal Reserve policy assessments and fuel short-term swings in risk appetite.

What’s Next?

Attention now shifts to whether Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report will be released on time, a key factor for Fed rate expectations. In the meantime, investors will watch closely for Fed speeches and the ADP employment report for near-term guidance on policy direction.

Disclaimer

Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.

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