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BoJ Uchida: Expects to Raise Rates if Outlook Holds

um editor

UM Editor

October 2, 2025 at 4:06 pm

BoJ Uchida: Expects to Raise Rates if Outlook Holds

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida signaled on Thursday that the central bank remains prepared to continue raising interest rates, provided the economy and inflation evolve in line with forecasts. He stressed a data-driven approach, saying the BOJ will “judge without any preconception” while monitoring both domestic and global conditions.

Uchida highlighted improving business sentiment, citing the latest Tankan survey that showed stronger confidence among manufacturers, helped by reduced uncertainty following recent Japan–U.S. trade agreements. Still, he noted that while Japan’s economy is recovering moderately, pockets of weakness remain, and global trade policy risks could weigh on outlook.

Key takeaways from Uchida’s remarks include:

  • Japan’s economy is recovering moderately but shows weak spots.
  • Household consumption is moving firmly.
  • The BOJ could continue raising rates if forecasts hold.
  • Trade policy uncertainties remain elevated.

His comments reinforce that while the BOJ is not rushing into aggressive tightening, it remains poised to act if inflation momentum and corporate performance support further hawkish moves.

USDJPY, H4 Chart | Source: Ultima Market MT5

USDJPY, H4 Chart | Source: Ultima Market MT5

The Japanese yen slipped mildly following Uchida’s remarks, after having shown strong gains against major currencies over the past two sessions. USD/JPY once again revisited the 146.80 level, keeping its broader range intact as markets weigh BOJ policy signals against U.S. shutdown-driven risk sentiment.

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