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The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained ultra-low interest rates on Sep. 22 and its pledge to keep supporting the economy until inflation sustainably hits its 2% target, suggesting it was in no rush to phase out its massive stimulus program.
In terms of inflation data for August, Japan’s core CPI, excluding fresh food, came in at 3.1%, above the Bank of Japan’s target of 2% for the 17th month in a row. Another core-core CPI which excludes volatile fuel prices and fresh food, reached 4.3%. Higher import costs boosted the inflation.
The BOJ’s yield curve control program remains intact, with short-term interest rates at minus 0.1% and 10-year Japanese government bond yields guided around zero percent.
Governor Kazuo Ueda’s recent hint at ending negative interest rates if prices and wages rise added another layer of complexity to the discussion. Ueda suggested that sufficient information and data would be available by year-end to facilitate a decision.
(Japan CPI YoY% & 10Y JGB Yield)
In summary, the Bank of Japan’s decision to maintain ultra-low interest rates, even in the face of rising inflation, exemplifies a resolute commitment to steering the nation’s economy on a stable course.
By prioritizing stability and economic growth, addressing the persistent inflation challenge, and fostering transparency in decision-making, the BoJ assures its continued role in Japan’s economic journey.
Governor Kazuo Ueda’s hint at potential changes in policy adds a layer of anticipation to the financial landscape.
As the situation evolves, market participants and analysts will remain vigilant, as this strategic decision’s impact unfolds.
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