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SOLUSD Analysis: Is This a Healthy Pullback or the Start of a Deeper Correction?

16 September 2025

In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the SOLUSD for September 16, 2025.

Technical Analysis of SOLUSD

SOLUSD Daily Chart Insight

• The overall trajectory remains positive over the long haul, but near-term prospects warrant a more measured approach. Following an exceptionally robust upward movement that pushed prices to approximately 250.00, the market is now displaying indicators of a retreat or sideways movement. Recent candlestick formations have turned negative, reflecting increased selling activity following the dramatic climb. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator positioned below the chart has entered oversold conditions (exceeding 80) and demonstrates a negative divergence where the blue signal line drops beneath the red baseline, implying that buying momentum is diminishing and a corrective phase appears probable.
• Key support area: The price currently tests immediate support at 222.90, which aligns with the purple moving average that provided dynamic support during the recent rally. If this level breaks, secondary support spans 209.30-202.50, representing a prior consolidation zone and a recent swing low. The critical support sits at 188.90, coinciding with the black moving average, which must hold to maintain the overall bullish structure.

SOLUSD 2-Hour Chart Analysis

• The Stochastic indicator has entered oversold conditions (below 20) and displays potential for an upward reversal as the blue line begins to curve toward the red line. This signals that the current selling pressure is weakening, making a rebound or horizontal consolidation period probable before the market’s next major directional move.
• Breakout scenarios: An optimistic outcome requires the price to first recover above the black moving average near 235.00, followed by a sustained breach of the purple moving average around 237.50, which would indicate the corrective phase has concluded and potentially trigger a move back toward recent peaks at 249.75, with a break above this level confirming continued upward momentum. Conversely, a pessimistic development would emerge from a definitive close beneath the immediate support at 230.15, demonstrating persistent selling activity and opening the path for further decline toward the green moving average at approximately 220.35, where failure to hold would substantially compromise the positive outlook for this timeframe.

SOLUSD Pivot Indicator

• After the steep decline to approximately 229.50, the market has entered a corrective bounce phase, though this recovery remains capped beneath significant resistance zones, indicating it may represent only a brief pause before potentially resuming the downward movement. The moving averages have repositioned above current price levels and are beginning to trend downward, creating dynamic resistance that will likely limit any upward progress.
• Bullish Breakout (Recovery Scenario): A credible bullish reversal requires the price to achieve a definitive break and close above the key resistance level at 236.15-237.10. Successfully clearing this barrier would eliminate immediate downward pressure and create an opportunity to challenge the subsequent resistance near 240.95.
• Bearish Breakdown (Continuation Scenario): The market currently favors downward movement as the path of least resistance. A decisive break and close beneath the recent low of 229.50 would confirm bearish continuation, validating the negative trend initiated by the sharp decline and likely prompting further selling toward the next significant support zones.

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