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In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the EURUSD for October 15, 2025.
Technical Analysis of EURUSD
EURUSD Daily Chart Insight
The bullish momentum has recently stalled as the price broke below both short-term and medium-term moving averages for the first time since the uptrend began, signaling a weakening trend and corrective phase. The market is now consolidating below these averages, which have become immediate resistance. Meanwhile, the Stochastic oscillator is declining toward oversold territory, indicating downward momentum is dominant but also suggesting the market may soon be exhausted to the downside, potentially setting up a bounce from key support.
Key Levels: The immediate support level sits at 1.1575, representing the low of the recent pullback and serving as the first line of defense for bulls. The major support is located around 1.1400, a highly significant level that aligns with the long-term green moving average that has supported the entire uptrend, making any test of this area a major market event. If the major support fails, the next area of interest would be at 1.1300, which corresponds to a previous swing high from July.
EURUSD 2-Hour Chart Analysis
The market is currently in a corrective phase, bouncing off the recent low around 1.1550. The price has reclaimed the short-term moving average and is now challenging the medium-term moving average. This bounce represents a test of the bearish trend’s strength.
Breakout Scenarios: The higher probability scenario is a bearish reversal, with an expected rejection from resistance at 1.1625 – 1.1630. A break below 1.1590 would provide initial confirmation, while a break below 1.1550 would confirm the downtrend resumption toward new lows. The lower probability scenario is a bullish breakout requiring a sustained close above 1.1630, which would neutralize bearish pressure and open the path toward 1.1665.
EURUSD Pivot Indicator
After the strong rally, the price is currently in a period of consolidation or a “bull flag” pattern just below the recent high. This is healthy price action, suggesting the market is pausing and absorbing the recent gains before a potential next move higher.
Bullish Breakout / Continuation: The price action’s firm hold above the moving averages indicates that continuation is the more probable outcome. A decisive break and close above the immediate resistance at 1.1625 would mark the end of consolidation and initiate the next bullish phase, with an initial upside target at 1.1640.
Bearish Reversal / Pullback: Should the price fail to breach 1.1625 resistance and instead fall below the critical support zone at 1.1600 (the green moving average), this would signal significant weakness. Such a breakdown would indicate exhausted bullish momentum and confirm a deeper correction is in progress, with downside targets at 1.1590 and lower levels.
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