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In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the EURUSD for July 25, 2025.
Technical Analysis of EURUSD
EURUSD Daily Chart Insights
Stochastic Oscillator: The oscillator’s lines are converging and beginning to decline, indicating that bullish momentum may be weakening in the near term. This development could result in a consolidation phase or modest retracement before the upward trend potentially continues.
Key support area: The recent trend peak sits near the 1.1785 level, representing the most significant immediate resistance for price action to surpass. A break and close beneath the primary support zone at 1.1615 would signal the initial indication of notable weakness. Such a breach would suggest a potential shift from bullish to neutral/corrective sentiment in the short term and could prompt price to test the black moving average.
EURUSD 2-hour Chart Analysis
Bullish Reversal: The price has retreated from its recent peak and is currently testing the short-term (purple) moving average. The Stochastic Oscillator has declined from overbought levels into neutral territory, suggesting recent bullish momentum has stalled. Such conditions indicate a period of either consolidation or deeper retracement before potential uptrend continuation. The overall outlook remains bullish as long as key support levels hold.
Breakout scenarios: A sustained break and close above the immediate resistance at 1.1790 would constitute a bullish breakout, confirming the end of the current pullback and signaling a resumption of the bullish trend, with the next likely target being the secondary resistance at 1.1810. Conversely, a bearish breakdown would occur if the first key support zone at 1.1680 – 1.1700 fails to hold, marked by a close below the black moving average, which would represent a significant sign of weakness and shift the immediate outlook from bullish to neutral/bearish, potentially leading to a test of the major support zone around the green moving average (~1.1640).
EURUSD Pivot Indicator
While the chart displays a broader uptrend over recent days, the immediate outlook has shifted to neutral with a bearish bias as price has recently broken below both the short-term (purple) and medium-term (black) moving averages, which now function as resistance levels. The price action has become choppy and failed to establish a new high, instead forming a lower high around 1.1775, and combined with the break of the moving averages, indicates a significant loss of upward momentum.
Bearish Breakdown: A sustained break and close below the key support zone of 1.1725 – 1.1715 would constitute a strong bearish signal, likely opening the door for a downward move to test the 1.1700 support level.
Bullish Reversal/Breakout: For bulls to regain control, price would need to reclaim the immediate resistance zone at 1.1750 – 1.1755, with a decisive close above that area serving as the first sign of strength and a further breakout above 1.1775 required to confirm a potential resumption of the uptrend towards the major resistance at 1.1785.
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