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瑞士法郎因瑞士央行考虑重新引入负利率而走弱 

瑞士法郎仍是避险货币 

上周五，瑞士国家银行（SNB）主席马丁·施莱格尔表示，如果有必要，可能会重新引入负利率。尽管瑞士央行并不青睐负利率政策，但为了抑制投资者对避险瑞士法郎的需求，可能会采取这一措施。受此言论影响，瑞士法郎兑美元走弱，美元兑瑞士法郎（USD/CHF）上涨0.77%，收于0.8934美元。 

（美元兑瑞士法郎日线价格图，来源：Trading View） 

（美元兑瑞士法郎日线价格图，来源：Trading View） 

施莱格尔还强调，瑞士法郎在不确定时期可能仍是投资者首选的避险货币。虽然这带来了挑战，但瑞士有能力应对这些问题。他补充称，瑞士央行将继续致力于保持价格稳定，目标是在中期内将通胀控制在0-2%的范围内。 

瑞士曾有过负利率的经验，过去曾利用这一政策来削弱瑞士法郎的强势，而瑞士法郎的升值加剧了出口商在海外需求低迷时面临的困难。然而，瑞士央行于2022年9月结束了负利率政策，与其他央行同步提高借贷成本，在成功控制通胀后转变了政策方向。 

2024年，瑞士央行已三次下调基准利率，将其降至1%，并预计未来可能会进一步降息。目前市场预期，在瑞士央行12月的会议上，降息25个基点的概率为72%，降息50个基点的概率为28%。 

（瑞士国家银行政策利率，来源：Forex Factory） 

（瑞士国家银行政策利率，来源：Forex Factory） 

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本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料仅供参考，旨在帮助读者了解市场形势，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的绝对准确性，并可能随时更改，恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets对于因直接或间接使用或依赖此类资料而可能导致的任何损失或亏损（包括但不限于利润损失）不承担责任。 

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