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U.S. Inflation Jumps, Fed Holds Firm on Rates

Inflation Heats Up, Tariffs Add to Uncertainty

U.S. consumer prices saw their sharpest increase in nearly 1.5 years in January, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to interest rate cuts amid economic uncertainty. The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.5% last month, the biggest gain since August 2023, following a 0.4% increase in December, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

(U.S CPI m/m Chart, Source: Forex Factory)

(U.S CPI m/m Chart, Source: Forex Factory)

(U.S CPI y/y Chart, Source: Forex Factory)

(U.S CPI y/y Chart, Source: Forex Factory)

Shelter costs, including hotels and motels, climbed 0.4%, accounting for nearly 30% of the CPI increase. Food prices rose 0.4%, with grocery costs surging 0.5%, driven by a 15.2% spike in egg prices, marking the largest jump since June 2015. Higher inflation was partly attributed to businesses raising prices at the start of the year, evident in record prescription medication costs and increased motor vehicle insurance rates.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration’s economic agenda faces challenges from persistent inflation. While Trump campaigned on lowering costs, high inflation could complicate plans for tax cuts and large-scale deportations, which might lead to labor shortages and rising wages. Additionally, his proposed tariffs including a hike to 25% on steel and aluminum, could slow growth while also fueling inflation, further complicating the Fed’s decision-making.

Disclaimer   

Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided. 

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Regulatory Information:

Ultima Markets is a trading name shared amongst multiple entities operating in various jurisdictions. These following entities are authorised to operate under the Ultima Markets brand and trademarks.

  • Ultima Markets UK Limited, reference number 470325, is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). Registered address: 1 Blossom Yard, Fourth Floor, London, E1 6RS, UNITED KINGDOM.

  • Ultima Markets (Mauritius) Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Mauritius as a Full-Service Investment Dealer (excluding Underwriting), under licence number GB 23201593.

    Registered address: 2nd Floor, The Catalyst, 40 Silicon Avenue, Ebene Cybercity, 72201, Mauritius.

  • Ultima Markets EU OÜ is incorporated in Estonia with registry code 17134727. Registered address: Harju maakond, Tallinn, Kristiine linnaosa, Seebi tn 1-1501, 11316. Ultima Markets EU OÜ facilitates services on behalf of other licensed entities within the Ultima Markets Group, including, but not limited to, payment services. This entity does not offer regulated financial products or provide trading services.

  • Ultima Markets (Pty) Ltd is a licensed Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 52497) authorised and regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority ("FSCA") of South Africa. Ultima Markets (Pty) Ltd is neither the issuer nor the market maker of the derivative products made available through the FSP. It acts solely as an intermediary, as contemplated in the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act, 2002 ("FAIS Act"), between clients and Ultima Markets (Mauritius) Ltd (the "Product Provider"). Its services are limited to the provision of intermediary services in relation to derivative products issued by the Product Provider. Accordingly, Ultima Markets (Pty) Ltd does not act as principal, issuer, market maker, or counterparty in any client transaction. Registered Office: 18 Cavendish Road, Claremont, Cape Town, Western Cape 7708, South Africa.

  • Ultima Markets (Pty) Ltd, with registration number K2021950694, is licensed and authorised by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under FSP number 52497. Registered address: 183 Albion Springs, Rondebosch, Cape Town, Western Cape, 7700, South Africa.

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