In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the China A50 for 1st February 2024.
Key Takeaways
- Too early to cut interest rates in March: The Federal Reserve announced its latest interest rate decision early this morning. Powell emphasized that it is unlikely to cut interest rates in March and emphasized further observation. Following the meeting, the market significantly reduced its bets on rate cuts in March while the US dollar held on.
- A-shares are in danger: After experiencing a short-lived rise, A-shares saw the market median fall by 5.08% yesterday. The snowballs of CSI 500 and CSI 1000 fell by more than 60%. Further depreciation may trigger a collective selloff. Positions forced to be liquidated will accelerate the decline of A shares further.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart Insights
- Stochastic Oscillator: The indicator sends a short signal near the overbought area, suggesting that the current bearish pressure has the upper hand. Investors should pay attention to short trading opportunities.
- Moving average resistance: The blue 33-day moving average suppresses the rise in market prices. Although the bar formed on January 24 strongly broke through the 33-day moving average, the subsequent downward trend fell below the opening price of the bar. The overall trend will most likely continue prior bearish bias.
1-hour Chart Analysis
- Stochastic Oscillator: The indicator is consolidating above the 50 midline, indicating that the current upward momentum is insufficient while the rebound is limited. In the short term, additional short forces need to wait for intervention.
- Moving average resistance: The market price fell below the rising flag range after forming a top pattern last Wednesday and is currently blocked by the 65-period and 240-period moving averages. Double resistance prevents the market price from rising further, indicating the need for confirmation for bullish skewed bias.
Pivot Indicator
- According to the trading central in Ultima Markets APP, the central price of the day is established at 11120.00,
- Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 11120.00, first target 11175.00, second target 11250.00;
- Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 11120.00, first target 10980.00, second target 10900.00.
Conclusion
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