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加拿大12月通脹率降至1.8%

加拿大12月稅收減免助推通脹放緩

根據周二公布的數據,加拿大12月的年度通脹率有所放緩,這部分歸因于月中推出的銷售稅減免措施,該措施降低了酒類、餐廳食品和兒童服裝的價格。

根據加拿大統計局的數據,年度通脹率降至1.8%,略低于預期,也比上月的1.9%小幅下降。從月度來看,消費者價格指數環比下降0.4%。按年度計算,12月商店購買的酒類價格下降1.3%,而11月則增長1.9%;餐館食品價格在12月下降1.6%,而此前一個月增長了3.4%。

(加拿大CPI月度變化圖表,來源:Forex Factory)

(加拿大CPI月度變化圖表,來源:Forex Factory)

隨著通脹下降,加拿大央行或將再次降息

價格的持續回落自8月以來保持在或低于加拿大央行2%的目標,這使得央行自6月以來將關鍵政策利率累計下調了175個基點至3.25%。

12月通脹的進一步下降可能促使央行在下周再次降息。然而,加拿大央行行長蒂夫·麥克勒姆上月表示,未來的降息將是漸進的。目前貨幣市場預測,加拿大央行1月29日降息25個基點的概率為81%。

美元兑加元圖表技術分析

(美元兌加元每日價格圖表,來源:Trading View)

(美元兌加元每日價格圖表,來源:Trading View)

從技術角度看,美元/加元貨幣對正在振蕩區間內交易。它最近重新測試了支撐區域,並以微弱的看漲動能反彈。如果價格未突破該支撐區向下,則很可能推動價格進一步上漲。

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