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加拿大央行進退兩難，歐央行加息在即？


本周美國通脹數據將全方位檢驗美聯儲的高息防線。與此同時，歐洲央行與加拿大央行的利率決議將成為市場焦點。在內部經濟動能疲軟的背景下，這兩大非美央行將引發跨資產領域的利差重估與資金重新配置。

美國5月紐約聯儲1年通脹預期

週一的紐約聯儲通脹預期，是政策制定者評估物價風險的重要參考。若調查數據顯示消費者對未來一年的物價上漲預期有所反彈，將進一步印證通脹去化過程的複雜性，屆時或對美元指數形成支撐。

美國5月未季調CPI年率

週三美國將公佈CPI數據，若整體通脹或核心分項繼續展現出較強的黏性，將大幅推遲市場的降息定價，推動長端美債收益率攀升及美元走強。

加拿大央行利率決議

週三同日，加拿大央行公佈利率決定。此前5月份加拿大央行曾表示如果油價持續保持高位，則需要加息。不過當前油價預測存在”相當大的不確定性”，加央行成員們認為可以忽視因油價上漲帶來的初始通脹衝擊。

歐央行利率決議

週四歐洲央行公佈最新利率決定，在通脹持續上行的背景下，該央行已在上月開始討論加息，多位政策制定者也陸續釋放收緊信號。當前金融市場預期6月份存在加息概率，並且市場基本計入兩次上調的預期。

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本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊，僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性，但不能保證資料的精確度，及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失（包括但不限於任何盈利的損失）負責。 

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