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美元落水,黃金乘機築底頭肩底,能否重回牛市就看該頸線

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2025年 5月20日的黃金深入分析。

黃金基本面分析

  • 穆迪下調美國評級:由於美國政府債務不斷增加,穆迪評級公司週五盤後下調了美國的信用評級,從最高級別Aaa下調至Aa1,並將評級展望從“負面”調整為“穩定”。這意味著美國喪失了三大國際評級機構的全部AAA評級。
  • 美國稅收法案進展:眾議院預算委員會周日晚間批准了特朗普總統的稅收和支出法案,這對於預計將增加數萬億美元赤字的提案而言,堪稱里程碑。這加劇了投資者對美國債務走勢的擔憂。

黃金技術分析

黃金 日線圖表分析

(黃金的日線圖,來源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 隨機震盪指標:指標在超賣區域上方發出多頭信號,隨後快線指標回落,暗示當前多空仍未明確趨勢方向,前期多頭信號可能僅僅是反彈,需要今日走勢來進一步確認。
  • 阻力區域:黃金在跌至黑色65日均線後快速收漲,短期多頭力量佔據上風。目前金價受阻於紫色13日均線壓制,金價若要明確上漲的趨勢方向,需要突破13日均線和5月15日高點。

黃金 2小時圖表分析

(黃金的2小時圖,來源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 隨機震盪指標:指標超賣區域發出空頭信號,今日亞盤時段大概率將先以下跌回調為主。基於日線週期仍處於多頭趨勢中,優先關注指標在50中位線附近後是否將發出多頭信號。
  • 頭肩底:黃金自上周一以來的趨勢疑似形成頭肩底形態,金價短期受阻紅色頸線價位。優先關注金價在昨日跳空缺口附近的價格表現,等待金價漲破頸線後可關注多頭趨勢。

黃金樞紐線指標

(黃金的30分鐘圖,來源Ultima Markets APP)

  • 根據Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central樞紐線指標,當日中樞價位3205.00,
  • 3205.00之上看漲,第一目標3248.00,第二目標3260.00
  • 3205.00之下看跌,第一目標3182.00,第二目標3154.00

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本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊,僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供,並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性,但不能保證資料的精確度,及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失(包括但不限於任何盈利的損失)負責。 

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