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通胀疲软可能引发瑞士央行降息

通胀未达预期 

根据瑞士联邦统计局周二公布的数据，瑞士11月年度通胀率从10月的0.6%升至0.7%，但低于预期的0.8%。与此同时，与上月相比，消费价格下降了0.1%，符合市场预期。 

(瑞士年度CPI, 来源: Investing.com) 

(瑞士年度CPI, 来源: Investing.com) 

2024年，瑞士央行 (SNB)三次降息25个基点，将基准利率降至当前的1%。市场目前预期瑞士央行在12月12日的货币政策会议上有71%的可能性降息50个基点，以及29%的可能性降息25个基点。此前，市场倾向于25个基点的小幅降息。 

(瑞士央行政策利率, 来源: Forex Factory) 

(瑞士央行政策利率, 来源: Forex Factory) 

展望未来，预计2025年3月和6月还将分别降息25个基点，这可能会将基准利率降至0%。此外，重新引入负利率的可能性也无法排除，因为瑞士央行已表明对负利率保持开放态度。 

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本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料仅供参考，旨在帮助读者了解市场形势，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的绝对准确性，并可能随时更改，恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets对于因直接或间接使用或依赖此类资料而可能导致的任何损失或亏损（包括但不限于利润损失）不承担责任。 

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