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加拿大12月通胀率降至1.8%

加拿大12月税收减免助推通胀放缓

根据周二公布的数据，加拿大12月的年度通胀率有所放缓，这部分归因于月中推出的销售税减免措施，该措施降低了酒类、餐厅食品和儿童服装的价格。

根据加拿大统计局的数据，年度通胀率降至1.8%，略低于预期，也比上月的1.9%小幅下降。从月度来看，消费者价格指数环比下降0.4%。按年度计算，12月商店购买的酒类价格下降1.3%，而11月则增长1.9%；餐馆食品价格在12月下降1.6%，而此前一个月增长了3.4%。

（加拿大CPI月度变化图表，来源：Forex Factory）

（加拿大CPI月度变化图表，来源：Forex Factory）

随着通胀下降，加拿大央行或将再次降息

价格的持续回落自8月以来保持在或低于加拿大央行2%的目标，这使得央行自6月以来将关键政策利率累计下调了175个基点至3.25%。

12月通胀的进一步下降可能促使央行在下周再次降息。然而，加拿大央行行长蒂夫·麦克勒姆上月表示，未来的降息将是渐进的。目前货币市场预测，加拿大央行1月29日降息25个基点的概率为81%。

美元/加元图表技术分析

（美元兑加元每日价格图表，来源：Trading View）

（美元兑加元每日价格图表，来源：Trading View）

从技术角度看，美元/加元货币对正在振荡区间内交易。它最近重新测试了支撑区域，并以微弱的看涨动能反弹。如果价格未突破该支撑区向下，则很可能推动价格进一步上涨。

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