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铜价:多军第三季卷土重来?

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2026年7月7日的铜价深入分析

铜价技术分析

铜价日线图表分析

（铜价日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

（铜价日线图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 铜价处于转折点。积极型交易者或许可考虑在此进场做多,并将停损设在近期低点约5.9600下方,以博取均线交叉向上的机会;而保守型交易者则可能倾向于等待价格明确收在黑/紫均线群之上后,再确认回档修正已经结束。
  • 关键价位:在阻力方面,实时动态阻力位于6.1500–6.2000附近,目前价格(约6.1486)正与黑线及紫线均线缠斗,若能明确收在两者之上,将是多方需跨越的第一道关卡;次要阻力位在约6.3500,为6月中旬回落前所形成的较低高点;主要阻力则落在6.5500–6.6180区间,对应6月初形成的双顶型态,若能有效突破此区,意味着长期多头格局全面恢复。在支撑方面,实时支撑位于约5.9600–6.0000,为6月底近期的波段低点,且与4月底的整理区间大致吻合;主要动态支撑位在约5.7000附近,为长期绿色均线目前所在位置,在深度回档中可能对买盘形成强劲的吸引力;结构性支撑则落在约5.3000–5.4000,对应3月中旬所形成的重要底部。

铜价 2小时图表分析

（铜价 2小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

（铜价 2小时图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 图表显示自6月中旬急跌走势后,于月底5.9400–5.9700附近形成「双底」反转型态;此后短期趋势转为乐观,呈现高点与低点皆逐步垫高的格局。此外,紫色均线也已上穿黑色均线,形成偏多确认讯号,目前价格正以这两条均线作为动态支撑。
  • 突破情境:若出现多方突破,触发讯号将是2小时K线明确收在绿色均线(约6.1960以上)之上;不过,鉴于目前随机指标处于超买,突破恐怕不易立即维持动能,因此较健康的走势应是价格先突破绿线,稍作回档测试该线是否转为支撑,随后再度反弹走高,目标则指向下一个主要结构区6.2800以上。相对地,若出现偏空拒绝,触发讯号将是价格未能突破绿线,并在2小时图上出现看跌反转K线(如射击之星或看跌吞噬型态),同时随机指标向下交叉并跌出超买,此情境目标为拉回测试紫/黑均线群约6.1120–6.1400的动态支撑位。

铜价枢纽线指标

（铜价 30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

（铜价 30分钟图，来源Ultima Markets MT5）

  • 30分钟图呈强劲短多。有意做多的交易者,可考虑在价格回档至动态支撑位(紫/黑均线)时进场,并将停损设于绿色均线或前波结构低点下方。反之,若价格未能守住实时动态支撑,则可能预示更深的回档,对于极短线交易者而言,或可提供潜在的做空机会。
  • 多头延续情境:此情境下,价格将守住紫/黑均线的实时动态支撑,并持续呈现高点与低点垫高的格局,确认讯号为每次小幅回档后出现强劲的多头K线型态,且随机指标维持自中间区域向上的走势、不会过快进入深度超买区,目标为推升至6.2000–6.2200,若动能持续甚至可能更高。
  • 整理情境:此情境下,价格将无法维持当前突破,并回落至紫色与黑色均线的实时动态支撑(约6.1400–6.1500)下方,确认讯号为K线收在这些均线下方且呈现看跌型态,同时随机指标明显向下交叉,目标为拉回测试绿色均线(约6.0900–6.1000),若卖压加剧甚至可能触及6.0500的结构性价位——若跌破绿色均线,则意味着短期偏多格局出现转变。

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