{"id":6126,"date":"2023-12-25T11:57:56","date_gmt":"2023-12-25T03:57:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/?p=6126"},"modified":"2025-07-16T08:05:31","modified_gmt":"2025-07-16T08:05:31","slug":"moderating-core-inflation-in-november-bolsters-expectations-of-a-dovish-shift-by-the-federal-reserve","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/trade-news\/moderating-core-inflation-in-november-bolsters-expectations-of-a-dovish-shift-by-the-federal-reserve\/","title":{"rendered":"US Core Inflation Eases, High Hopes Federal Reserve Pivot"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-black-color has-text-color\"><strong>Moderating Core Inflation in November Bolsters Expectations of a Dovish Shift by the Federal Reserve&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">In November 2023, the United States experienced an unexpected twist in the<strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bea.gov\/data\/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"personal consumption expenditure price index (PCE)\">Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE)<\/a><\/strong>, showing a 0.1% month-over-month decline. This downturn, contrary to anticipated stability, marked the first decrease in PCE prices since February 2022. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The primary driver behind this shift was a 0.7% decrease in prices for goods, offsetting a 0.2% increase in services. This change is significant, as the PCE index is renowned for capturing inflation trends across a wide spectrum of consumer expenses and reflecting shifts in consumer behavior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"color:#ddd\" class=\"wp-block-genesis-blocks-gb-spacer gb-block-spacer gb-divider-solid gb-divider-size-1\"><hr style=\"height:30px\" \/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Core PCE and Federal Reserve Insights<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-black-color has-text-color\"><strong><em>Steady Core PCE<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The core PCE inflation, a crucial metric excluding food and energy, held steady at 0.1% in November, following a downward revision in October. The Federal Reserve considers core PCE a preferred measure of inflation, highlighting its stability as a key economic indicator.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-black-color has-text-color\"><strong><em>Energy and Food Impact<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Analyzing specific sectors, the energy index experienced a noteworthy decline of 2.7% month over month, while the food measure showed a marginal decrease of 0.1%. These fluctuations contribute to the broader understanding of inflationary dynamics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-black-color has-text-color\"><strong><em>Annual Rates Adjustment<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">The annual PCE inflation rate cooled to 2.6%, reaching its lowest point since February 2021, down from 2.9% in October. Simultaneously, the annual core inflation rate experienced a slowdown, dropping to 3.2% from 3.4%, marking its lowest point since mid-2021.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"690\" height=\"403\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2023\/12\/1-6.jpg\" alt=\"PCE Index, The Bureau of Economic Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-6127\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2023\/12\/1-6.jpg 690w, https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2023\/12\/1-6-300x175.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 690px) 100vw, 690px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-small-font-size\"><em>(PCE Index, The Bureau of Economic Analysis)&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"color:#ddd\" class=\"wp-block-genesis-blocks-gb-spacer gb-block-spacer gb-divider-solid gb-divider-size-1\"><hr style=\"height:30px\" \/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Market Impact and Currency Relations<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Despite these notable shifts in inflation, the latest data does not seem to be substantially impacting the value of the US dollar against other major currencies. At the time of publication, the US dollar index, measuring the greenback against a basket of other currencies, showed a modest decline of 0.13% to 101.65.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"690\" height=\"403\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2023\/12\/2-2-1.jpg\" alt=\"Dollar Index One-week Chart\" class=\"wp-image-6128\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2023\/12\/2-2-1.jpg 690w, https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2023\/12\/2-2-1-300x175.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 690px) 100vw, 690px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-small-font-size\"><em>(Dollar Index One-week Chart)&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"color:#ddd\" class=\"wp-block-genesis-blocks-gb-spacer gb-block-spacer gb-divider-solid gb-divider-size-1\"><hr style=\"height:30px\" \/><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Frequently Asked Questions<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div data-schema-only=\"false\" class=\"wp-block-aioseo-faq has-black-color has-text-color\"><h3 class=\"aioseo-faq-block-question\"><strong><mark class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">Q1: What is the PCE Price Index?<\/mark><\/strong><\/h3><div class=\"aioseo-faq-block-answer\">\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">A1: The PCE Price Index measures the prices people in the United States pay for goods and services, capturing inflation across various consumer expenses.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div data-schema-only=\"false\" class=\"wp-block-aioseo-faq has-black-color has-text-color\"><h3 class=\"aioseo-faq-block-question\"><strong><mark class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\">Q2: How does Core PCE differ from the regular PCE?<\/mark><\/strong><\/h3><div class=\"aioseo-faq-block-answer\">\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">A2: Core PCE excludes food and energy, providing a more focused measure of inflation and is preferred by the Federal Reserve as an economic indicator.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div data-schema-only=\"false\" class=\"wp-block-aioseo-faq has-black-color has-text-color\"><h3 class=\"aioseo-faq-block-question\"><mark class=\"has-inline-color has-black-color\"><strong>Q3: Why is the Federal Reserve concerned about inflation rates?<\/strong><\/mark><\/h3><div class=\"aioseo-faq-block-answer\">\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">A3: Inflation rates impact economic stability and purchasing power; the Federal Reserve monitors these rates closely to make informed monetary policy decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">For more detailed information, you can visit the official <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bea.gov\/data\/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Bureau of Economic Analysis<\/strong><\/a> website.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"color:#ddd\" class=\"wp-block-genesis-blocks-gb-spacer gb-block-spacer gb-divider-solid gb-divider-size-1\"><hr style=\"height:30px\" \/><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div style=\"color:#ddd\" class=\"wp-block-genesis-blocks-gb-spacer gb-block-spacer gb-divider-solid gb-divider-size-1\"><hr style=\"height:30px\" \/><\/div>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Moderating Core Inflation in November Bolsters Expectations of a Dovish Shift by the Federal Reserve&nbsp; In November 2023, the United States experienced an unexpected twist in the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE), showing a 0.1% month-over-month decline. This downturn, contrary to anticipated stability, marked the first decrease in PCE prices since February 2022. The [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":6130,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[239],"tags":[9,63],"class_list":["post-6126","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trade-news","tag-pce","tag-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.2 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US Core Inflation Eases, High Hopes Federal Reserve Pivot | Ultima Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Moderating Core Inflation in November Bolsters Expectations of a Dovish Shift by the Federal Reserve&nbsp; In November 2023, the United States experienced\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Core Inflation Eases, High Hopes Federal Reserve Pivot\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Moderating Core Inflation in November Bolsters Expectations of a Dovish Shift by the Federal Reserve&nbsp; 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