![\"Neckline](\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2025\/12\/Featured-image-Ultima-Markets-5.png\")
<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nNeckline l\u00e0 g\u00ec? Kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m v\u00e0 vai tr\u00f2 trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nKhi t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1, nhi\u1ec1u trader th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi neckline l\u00e0 g\u00ec v\u00e0 v\u00ec sao \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i quan tr\u1ecdng trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt. Neckline th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n xu h\u01b0\u1edbng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf giao d\u1ecbch, neckline \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn cho nhi\u1ec1u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Head and Shoulders, Inverse Head and Shoulders, Double Top, Double Bottom. Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t, trader th\u01b0\u1eddng coi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00fang neckline kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1eb7t d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 v\u00e0 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 c\u00f3 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u01a1n, thay v\u00ec c\u1ea3m t\u00ednh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Neckline xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0o?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nNeckline l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng trong nhi\u1ec1u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u kinh \u0111i\u1ec3n. D\u00f9 m\u1ed7i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac kh\u00e1c nhau, nh\u01b0ng neckline lu\u00f4n \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn cho t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai (Head and Shoulders)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai (Head and Shoulders) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady nh\u1ea5t trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf cu\u1ed1i m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y g\u1ed3m ba \u0111\u1ec9nh: vai tr\u00e1i, \u0111\u1ea7u, v\u00e0 vai ph\u1ea3i, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec9nh \u1edf gi\u1eefa (\u0111\u1ea7u) cao h\u01a1n hai \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i. Ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 neckline, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c di\u1ec5n ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh dung r\u00f5 h\u01a1n, neckline c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u1ed1i hai \u0111\u00e1y h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 vai ph\u1ea3i. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng. Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n. Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n, ho\u1eb7c ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 retest l\u1ea1i neckline \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n![\"Neckline](\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2025\/12\/Article-image-Ultima-Markets-1-3.png\")
Neckline m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nNgo\u00e0i vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, neckline c\u00f2n gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1. C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u\u201d xu\u1ed1ng neckline r\u1ed3i d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng xu\u1ed1ng b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. C\u00e1ch \u0111o n\u00e0y cho trader m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u00e0 c\u00f3 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0a chu\u1ed9ng v\u00ec t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trader v\u1eabn n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 volume, n\u1ebfn x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Inverse Head and Shoulders)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Inverse Head and Shoulders) l\u00e0 phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf cu\u1ed1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u trader xem nh\u01b0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm cho s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m ba \u0111\u00e1y: vai tr\u00e1i, \u0111\u1ea7u, v\u00e0 vai ph\u1ea3i, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf gi\u1eefa (\u0111\u1ea7u) s\u00e2u h\u01a1n hai \u0111\u00e1y c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i. Neckline \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u1ed1i hai \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i – \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u – vai ph\u1ea3i. Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, neckline \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng. Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trader th\u01b0\u1eddng theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd pha breakout kh\u1ecfi neckline, v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 trader ch\u1ecdn v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ngay khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline, trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi giao d\u1ecbch th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n s\u1ebd ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i neckline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 r\u1ee7i ro\/l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n![\"M\u00f4](\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2025\/12\/Article-image-Ultima-Markets-3-5.png\")
Neckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nT\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 (take profit) c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u\u201d l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline r\u1ed3i d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay v\u00ec ph\u1ecfng \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ea3m t\u00ednh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 h\u1eefu \u00edch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi trader theo tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1i price action. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1eeb n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, volume t\u0103ng trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o nh\u01b0 RSI hay MACD \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang m\u1ea5t d\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u1ec9nh li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 cao t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhau, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u00e1y h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. D\u00f9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nhau, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trader th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout kh\u1ecfi neckline \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n, ho\u1eb7c ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra neckline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. C\u00e1ch \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u kh\u00e1c: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh xu\u1ed1ng neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n![\"M\u00f4](\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2025\/12\/Article-image-Ultima-Markets-4-1.png\")
Neckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nM\u1ed9t \u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u kh\u00e1 d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00f4i khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, khi\u1ebfn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume t\u0103ng trong pha gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chuy\u1ec3n sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u00e1y li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 s\u00e2u g\u1ea7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, l\u1ef1c mua th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u trader coi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n![\"M\u00f4](\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2025\/12\/Article-image-Ultima-Markets-5-1.png\")
Neckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u00e1y<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi giao d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, c\u00f3 hai c\u00e1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi trader mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 retest neckline, d\u00e0nh cho trader th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 ng\u1eafn h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e0y l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c take profit mang t\u00ednh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u1ee7 quan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tuy l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft, nh\u01b0ng Double Bottom c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u sai n\u1ebfu hai \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline nh\u01b0ng thi\u1ebfu volume h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi breakout neckline<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline (Breakout)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nKhi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1edf ra c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao. Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin, trader c\u1ea7n hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 c\u00e1ch nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nT\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 mang \u00fd ngh\u0129a x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u1eb1m ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u00eda tr\u00ean ho\u1eb7c ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi neckline, t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t nh\u1eb9 neckline r\u1ed3i \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ean trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh, \u0111\u00f3 ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 breakout th\u1eadt, \u0111\u00e2y th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a false breakout ho\u1eb7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i ngang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u00e0 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c mua\/b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i xuy\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch (volume) th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 tham gia.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 khi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n khi v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ee7i ro trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n![\"breakout](\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2025\/12\/Article-image-Ultima-Markets-6-1.png\")
<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n2. Volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nVolume l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t gi\u00fap x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin hay kh\u00f4ng. Khi gi\u00e1 breakout nh\u01b0ng volume kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng, \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201c\u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1\u201d c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m nh\u1ecf trader, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn false breakout. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh ngay th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn \u0111ang tham gia v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Volume t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn, cao h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng li\u00ean t\u1ee5c trong 1 \u0111\u1ebfn 3 n\u1ebfn sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phe mua (ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n) th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top\/Bottom, volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 khi breakout. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh. S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t b\u1ed9 l\u1ecdc gi\u00fap trader tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm, gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop-loss, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 giao d\u1ecbch khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nN\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle) l\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i n\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u00e2n d\u00e0i, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ho\u1eb7c s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- R\u00e2u n\u1ebfn ng\u1eafn, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (n\u1ebfu xem \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c) t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f9ng chi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u0103ng t\u1ed1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn momentum, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00e0i n\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 ki\u1ec3m tra nh\u1eb9 sau n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean v\u00e0o ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c khi n\u1ebfn v\u1eeba \u0111\u00f3ng, v\u00ec r\u1ee7i ro FOMO v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u: Trendline, MA, SR \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng: xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn xanh th\u00e2n d\u00e0i ph\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 canh buy khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 30\u201350% th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m: n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecf m\u1ea1nh ph\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1y, \u01b0u ti\u00ean sell khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
4. Breakout t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nBreakout x\u1ea3y ra khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ho\u1eb7c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u00edch l\u0169y v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c n\u00e9n \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh (high volatility), c\u00e1c phi\u00ean breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 cho bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 di chuy\u1ec3n r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\u2013th\u1ea5p l\u1edbn h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tin t\u1ee9c, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00f9ng gi\u1edd m\u1edf c\u1eeda (London\/New York) th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a breakout khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi: Sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway ho\u1eb7c t\u00edch l\u0169y, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u00f9ng breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng false-break th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: Khi l\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 \u201cph\u00e1 gi\u1ea3\u201d gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ea1o c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i l\u1ec7nh theo \u0111\u00e0 (momentum trading): Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng pullback nh\u1eb9 sau breakout \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c: Breakout trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 momentum th\u01b0\u1eddng thi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u0110\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh ch\u1edd theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Buy stop\/Sell stop \u1edf ngo\u00e0i v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng breakout m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0m stop-loss d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t n\u1ebfu c\u1ed1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y.
Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd: Do spread m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1y nhanh, c\u1ea7n SL r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p theo risk management.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\nV\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Khi tin Non-Farm ho\u1eb7c CPI ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh, gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n breakout k\u00e8m n\u1ebfn momentum, khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng di chuy\u1ec3n nhanh 30\u2013100 pips ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i ph\u00fat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phi\u00ean London m\u1edf c\u1eeda th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng, breakout kh\u1ecfi Asian range t\u1ea1o ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c London Breakout truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
5. Gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi\/ tr\u00ean ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u1ed9t breakout th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c v\u00f9ng tr\u00ean (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m) ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c. Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua ho\u1eb7c l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, gi\u00fap xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c n\u1ebfn sau breakout ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\/th\u1ea5p m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Pullback v\u1ec1 neckline, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd: L\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh: Neckline b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 k\u00e8m gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro false breakout: Breakout kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb k\u00e9o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ngay cho th\u1ea5y t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh theo chi\u1ec1u breakout sau khi n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- D\u00f9ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c stop-loss g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1y\/\u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. Ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u1ed9t breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea7n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. N\u1ebfu breakout x\u1ea3y ra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh ho\u1eb7c \u0111i tr\u00e1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c false breakout s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1edbn: Breakout theo h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh (trend) th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, breakout tr\u00ean neckline c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Double Bottom c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khi breakout ng\u01b0\u1ee3c chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u2013 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng: Neckline c\u00e0ng tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh, breakout c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u00edt quan tr\u1ecdng d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng: MACD, RSI, ho\u1eb7c ADX c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh tin t\u1ee9c v\u00e0 phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch: Breakout tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n cao (London, New York) ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c tin kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng breakout ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi \u201cd\u00f2ng ch\u00ednh\u201d c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u00fap trader l\u1ecdc t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3, tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang nhi\u1ec5u ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 tr\u00ean gi\u00fap trader x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo breakout hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng neckline chu\u1ea9n nh\u1ea5t cho trader<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nX\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang neckline l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 (breakout), thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 quy tr\u00ecnh chi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u01b0u \u00fd th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1y ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh quan tr\u1ecdng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nB\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline chu\u1ea9n l\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ea5u th\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, v\u00ec n\u1ebfu ch\u1ecdn sai \u0111i\u1ec3m, to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t \u00fd ngh\u0129a v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean k\u00e9m ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, m\u1ed7i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Trader c\u1ea7n quan s\u00e1t k\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra nh\u1eefng m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh theo t\u1eebng nh\u00f3m m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u00e1y n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 vai ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u1ec9nh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c vai v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh; khi b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) v\u00e0 hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom): Neckline l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i qua \u0111\u00e1y gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (v\u1edbi Double Top) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y (v\u1edbi Double Bottom). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh r\u1ea5t ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng sideway.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: Cup and Handle, Flag, Pennant): Ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng swing high ho\u1eb7c swing low r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u201cnhi\u1ec5u nh\u1ecf\u201d ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, v\u00ec ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1eadt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u1eabn \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ec9nh \u2013 \u0111\u00e1y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2. D\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng (trendline) \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nSau khi \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng, b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n neckline l\u00e0 d\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trendline \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u00fap trader c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u201cranh gi\u1edbi\u201d quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Khi k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline, trader c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed1i ph\u1ea3i \u0111i qua t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u hai \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng (\u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y), v\u00e0 l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady. C\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, neckline c\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u00fang chu\u1ea9n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng n\u1ed1i h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top):
N\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, l\u00e0 n\u01a1i gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 khi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trendline c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ngang ho\u1eb7c h\u01a1i nghi\u00eang:
Neckline th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1eb3ng m\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nghi\u00eang l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c nghi\u00eang xu\u1ed1ng nh\u1eb9 t\u00f9y v\u00e0o c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.
\n\n- Neckline d\u1ed1c l\u00ean cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua c\u00f2n kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Neckline d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Ch\u1ec9 k\u1ebb \u1edf khung th\u1eddi gian c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u (H1 tr\u1edf l\u00ean cho \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u01afu ti\u00ean d\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda (close) thay v\u00ec b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec5u, nh\u01b0ng trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u1ea3 hai.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng c\u1ed1 \u00e9p c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o trendline; n\u1ebfu th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng \u201ch\u1ee3p t\u00e1c\u201d, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c k\u1ebb \u0111\u00fang trendline \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh neckline kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u00fap trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1, m\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u00f2n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng breakout m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. D\u00f9ng trendline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc then ch\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng cao hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. \u01afu ti\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nKhi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline, vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 H4, D1 ho\u1eb7c W1 th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra neckline \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng khung th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ecf (M5, M15, M30), gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u, d\u1ec5 nhi\u1ec5u v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh sai neckline ho\u1eb7c g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u201cbreak gi\u1ea3\u201d, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ec sao n\u00ean \u01b0u ti\u00ean khung l\u1edbn khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch neckline?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- \u0110\u1ed9 nhi\u1ec5u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: M\u1ed7i c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn tr\u00ean khung l\u1edbn bao h\u00e0m nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecf, gi\u00fap lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n: C\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top, Double Bottom\u2026 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng chu\u1ea9n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin h\u01a1n: Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline tr\u00ean khung H4 ho\u1eb7c D1, l\u1ef1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khung nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng cao h\u01a1n: V\u00ec \u00edt x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian t\u1ed1i \u01b0u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n: \u01b0u ti\u00ean D1 v\u00e0 H4 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao: d\u00f9ng H1, nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i (confirmation) tr\u00ean H4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh d\u1ef1a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c khung qu\u00e1 nh\u1ecf (M1 \u0111\u1ebfn M15), tr\u1eeb khi backtest ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch vi m\u00f4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u01afu ti\u00ean c\u00e1c khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn gi\u00fap trader nh\u00ecn r\u00f5 h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u sai l\u1ea7m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc quan tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 trader n\u00e0o giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng n\u00ean ghi nh\u1edb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. Ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nSau khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c neckline v\u00e0 k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng xem neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby “breakout gi\u1ea3”, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Volume ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n. Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh, volume s\u1ebd cho trader bi\u1ebft li\u1ec7u phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 gi\u00fap t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
Volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf l\u1ef1c mua \u0111\u00e3 quay l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top): Volume t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi ph\u00e1 neckline xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu volume th\u1ea5p khi break: \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, trader n\u00ean ch\u1edd th\u00eam n\u1ebfn x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c retest neckline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- RSI: T\u00ecm ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 RSI \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1y m\u00e0 neckline d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MACD: MACD c\u1eaft l\u00ean (ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ed1ng) \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng neckline l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MA (Moving Average): Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u01b0\u1ee3t MA quan tr\u1ecdng (nh\u01b0 MA50, MA200), t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume Profile ho\u1eb7c VWAP: D\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n l\u1edbn, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1\/h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra neckline b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Khi ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1, trader r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh l\u1eeba b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c thi\u1ebfu thanh kho\u1ea3n. Volume v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 \u201ct\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn\u201d, gi\u00fap trader gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh sai, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0m r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c mua b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng sau khi ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop loss trong c\u00e1c b\u1eaby gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u0169ng gi\u00fap trader ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 breakout x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u00fang v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ef1 tin v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
5. Ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nB\u00ean c\u1ea1nh volume v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng th\u00eam nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a neckline. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xem \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng hay kh\u00f4ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m nguy c\u01a1 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Fibonacci Retracement. Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng Fibonacci \u0111\u1ec3 xem neckline c\u00f3 tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 38.2%, 50% ho\u1eb7c 61.8% kh\u00f4ng. Khi neckline tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t trong c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, Fibonacci Extension gi\u00fap \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline, cho ph\u00e9p trader l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd. Trendline ph\u1ee5, k\u00eanh gi\u00e1 (price channel) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (MA100, MA200) c\u0169ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng. N\u1ebfu neckline giao c\u1eaft ho\u1eb7c tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111ang mang t\u00ednh \u201ch\u1ee3p l\u01b0u\u201d m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ec5 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u00fap trader h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf sai l\u1ec7ch khi v\u1ebd neckline, t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng trong quy tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline n\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nTrong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf giao d\u1ecbch, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ban \u0111\u1ea7u. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi s\u00e2u h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi cao h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Khi \u0111\u00f3, trader n\u00ean ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i trendline c\u1ee7a neckline: n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n, c\u1ea7n k\u00e9o l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi n\u00e0y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi tr\u00e1nh vi\u1ec7c trader giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u1ed9t neckline \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ed7i th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u01b0u \u00fd khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Kh\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh qu\u00e1 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 volume ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, trader n\u00ean xem x\u00e9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh m\u1edbi thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 b\u00e1m v\u00e0o m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u0169.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Lu\u00f4n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a neckline (ngang, d\u1ed1c l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng) v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u00fd ngh\u0129a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Vi\u1ec7c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt neckline m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng breakout kh\u00e1c so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, v\u00ec v\u1eady trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam cho ph\u00e9p trader b\u00e1m s\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u0169 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cho nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout ho\u1eb7c retest quan tr\u1ecdng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u1ecdc hi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p khi giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n![\"Nh\u1eefng](\"https:\/\/www.ultimamarkets.com\/vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/16\/2025\/12\/Article-image-Ultima-Markets-7-1.png\")
<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline, trader th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1eafc ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 sai l\u1ea7m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch. Hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7i n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap n\u00e2ng cao \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p l\u00e0 v\u1ebd sai ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n. Nhi\u1ec1u trader v\u1ed9i x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ee7 h\u00e0nh vi gi\u00e1, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn breakout gi\u1ea3 ho\u1eb7c retest kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ngay khi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m neckline m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u00fd do ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn khi\u1ebfn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t l\u1ed7i kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u1ecf qua volume ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn. Breakout m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u. Ngo\u00e0i ra, kh\u00f4ng xem x\u00e9t b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c trend, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u1eefa l\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e9m. Stop-loss qu\u00e1 ch\u1eb7t ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 r\u1ed9ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7t take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thua l\u1ed7 ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed, trader \u0111\u00f4i khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o retest nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh sai l\u1ea7m ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec3u v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n, n\u00e2ng cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1, qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n khoa h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng trong th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Neckline tr\u00ean Ultima Markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nSau khi n\u1eafm v\u1eefng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft v\u1ec1 neckline, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh tr\u00ean n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader n\u00e2ng cao k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 tin trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Ultima Markets cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 v\u00e0 t\u00ednh n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, t\u1eeb bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111a khung th\u1eddi gian, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ebfn volume v\u00e0 n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c, gi\u00fap vi\u1ec7c quan s\u00e1t v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Neckline l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng trong nhi\u1ec1u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u kinh \u0111i\u1ec3n. D\u00f9 m\u1ed7i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac kh\u00e1c nhau, nh\u01b0ng neckline lu\u00f4n \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn cho t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai (Head and Shoulders)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai (Head and Shoulders) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady nh\u1ea5t trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf cu\u1ed1i m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y g\u1ed3m ba \u0111\u1ec9nh: vai tr\u00e1i, \u0111\u1ea7u, v\u00e0 vai ph\u1ea3i, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec9nh \u1edf gi\u1eefa (\u0111\u1ea7u) cao h\u01a1n hai \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i. Ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 neckline, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c di\u1ec5n ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh dung r\u00f5 h\u01a1n, neckline c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u1ed1i hai \u0111\u00e1y h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 vai ph\u1ea3i. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng. Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n. Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n, ho\u1eb7c ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 retest l\u1ea1i neckline \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nNgo\u00e0i vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, neckline c\u00f2n gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1. C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u\u201d xu\u1ed1ng neckline r\u1ed3i d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng xu\u1ed1ng b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. C\u00e1ch \u0111o n\u00e0y cho trader m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u00e0 c\u00f3 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0a chu\u1ed9ng v\u00ec t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trader v\u1eabn n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 volume, n\u1ebfn x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Inverse Head and Shoulders)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Inverse Head and Shoulders) l\u00e0 phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf cu\u1ed1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u trader xem nh\u01b0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm cho s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m ba \u0111\u00e1y: vai tr\u00e1i, \u0111\u1ea7u, v\u00e0 vai ph\u1ea3i, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf gi\u1eefa (\u0111\u1ea7u) s\u00e2u h\u01a1n hai \u0111\u00e1y c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i. Neckline \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u1ed1i hai \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i – \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u – vai ph\u1ea3i. Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, neckline \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng. Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trader th\u01b0\u1eddng theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd pha breakout kh\u1ecfi neckline, v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 trader ch\u1ecdn v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ngay khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline, trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi giao d\u1ecbch th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n s\u1ebd ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i neckline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 r\u1ee7i ro\/l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nT\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 (take profit) c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u\u201d l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline r\u1ed3i d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay v\u00ec ph\u1ecfng \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ea3m t\u00ednh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 h\u1eefu \u00edch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi trader theo tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1i price action. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1eeb n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, volume t\u0103ng trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o nh\u01b0 RSI hay MACD \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang m\u1ea5t d\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u1ec9nh li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 cao t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhau, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u00e1y h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. D\u00f9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nhau, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trader th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout kh\u1ecfi neckline \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n, ho\u1eb7c ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra neckline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. C\u00e1ch \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u kh\u00e1c: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh xu\u1ed1ng neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nM\u1ed9t \u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u kh\u00e1 d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00f4i khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, khi\u1ebfn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume t\u0103ng trong pha gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chuy\u1ec3n sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u00e1y li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 s\u00e2u g\u1ea7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, l\u1ef1c mua th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u trader coi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u00e1y<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi giao d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, c\u00f3 hai c\u00e1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi trader mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 retest neckline, d\u00e0nh cho trader th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 ng\u1eafn h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e0y l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c take profit mang t\u00ednh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u1ee7 quan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tuy l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft, nh\u01b0ng Double Bottom c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u sai n\u1ebfu hai \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline nh\u01b0ng thi\u1ebfu volume h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi breakout neckline<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline (Breakout)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nKhi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1edf ra c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao. Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin, trader c\u1ea7n hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 c\u00e1ch nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nT\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 mang \u00fd ngh\u0129a x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u1eb1m ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u00eda tr\u00ean ho\u1eb7c ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi neckline, t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t nh\u1eb9 neckline r\u1ed3i \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ean trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh, \u0111\u00f3 ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 breakout th\u1eadt, \u0111\u00e2y th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a false breakout ho\u1eb7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i ngang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u00e0 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c mua\/b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i xuy\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch (volume) th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 tham gia.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 khi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n khi v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ee7i ro trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n2. Volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nVolume l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t gi\u00fap x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin hay kh\u00f4ng. Khi gi\u00e1 breakout nh\u01b0ng volume kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng, \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201c\u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1\u201d c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m nh\u1ecf trader, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn false breakout. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh ngay th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn \u0111ang tham gia v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Volume t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn, cao h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng li\u00ean t\u1ee5c trong 1 \u0111\u1ebfn 3 n\u1ebfn sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phe mua (ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n) th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top\/Bottom, volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 khi breakout. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh. S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t b\u1ed9 l\u1ecdc gi\u00fap trader tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm, gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop-loss, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 giao d\u1ecbch khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nN\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle) l\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i n\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u00e2n d\u00e0i, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ho\u1eb7c s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- R\u00e2u n\u1ebfn ng\u1eafn, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (n\u1ebfu xem \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c) t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f9ng chi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u0103ng t\u1ed1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn momentum, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00e0i n\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 ki\u1ec3m tra nh\u1eb9 sau n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean v\u00e0o ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c khi n\u1ebfn v\u1eeba \u0111\u00f3ng, v\u00ec r\u1ee7i ro FOMO v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u: Trendline, MA, SR \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng: xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn xanh th\u00e2n d\u00e0i ph\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 canh buy khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 30\u201350% th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m: n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecf m\u1ea1nh ph\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1y, \u01b0u ti\u00ean sell khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
4. Breakout t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nBreakout x\u1ea3y ra khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ho\u1eb7c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u00edch l\u0169y v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c n\u00e9n \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh (high volatility), c\u00e1c phi\u00ean breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 cho bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 di chuy\u1ec3n r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\u2013th\u1ea5p l\u1edbn h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tin t\u1ee9c, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00f9ng gi\u1edd m\u1edf c\u1eeda (London\/New York) th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a breakout khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi: Sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway ho\u1eb7c t\u00edch l\u0169y, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u00f9ng breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng false-break th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: Khi l\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 \u201cph\u00e1 gi\u1ea3\u201d gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ea1o c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i l\u1ec7nh theo \u0111\u00e0 (momentum trading): Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng pullback nh\u1eb9 sau breakout \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c: Breakout trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 momentum th\u01b0\u1eddng thi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u0110\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh ch\u1edd theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Buy stop\/Sell stop \u1edf ngo\u00e0i v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng breakout m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0m stop-loss d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t n\u1ebfu c\u1ed1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y.
Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd: Do spread m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1y nhanh, c\u1ea7n SL r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p theo risk management.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\nV\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Khi tin Non-Farm ho\u1eb7c CPI ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh, gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n breakout k\u00e8m n\u1ebfn momentum, khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng di chuy\u1ec3n nhanh 30\u2013100 pips ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i ph\u00fat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phi\u00ean London m\u1edf c\u1eeda th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng, breakout kh\u1ecfi Asian range t\u1ea1o ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c London Breakout truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
5. Gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi\/ tr\u00ean ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u1ed9t breakout th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c v\u00f9ng tr\u00ean (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m) ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c. Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua ho\u1eb7c l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, gi\u00fap xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c n\u1ebfn sau breakout ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\/th\u1ea5p m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Pullback v\u1ec1 neckline, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd: L\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh: Neckline b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 k\u00e8m gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro false breakout: Breakout kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb k\u00e9o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ngay cho th\u1ea5y t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh theo chi\u1ec1u breakout sau khi n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- D\u00f9ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c stop-loss g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1y\/\u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. Ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u1ed9t breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea7n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. N\u1ebfu breakout x\u1ea3y ra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh ho\u1eb7c \u0111i tr\u00e1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c false breakout s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1edbn: Breakout theo h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh (trend) th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, breakout tr\u00ean neckline c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Double Bottom c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khi breakout ng\u01b0\u1ee3c chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u2013 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng: Neckline c\u00e0ng tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh, breakout c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u00edt quan tr\u1ecdng d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng: MACD, RSI, ho\u1eb7c ADX c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh tin t\u1ee9c v\u00e0 phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch: Breakout tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n cao (London, New York) ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c tin kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng breakout ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi \u201cd\u00f2ng ch\u00ednh\u201d c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u00fap trader l\u1ecdc t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3, tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang nhi\u1ec5u ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 tr\u00ean gi\u00fap trader x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo breakout hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng neckline chu\u1ea9n nh\u1ea5t cho trader<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nX\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang neckline l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 (breakout), thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 quy tr\u00ecnh chi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u01b0u \u00fd th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1y ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh quan tr\u1ecdng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nB\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline chu\u1ea9n l\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ea5u th\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, v\u00ec n\u1ebfu ch\u1ecdn sai \u0111i\u1ec3m, to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t \u00fd ngh\u0129a v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean k\u00e9m ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, m\u1ed7i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Trader c\u1ea7n quan s\u00e1t k\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra nh\u1eefng m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh theo t\u1eebng nh\u00f3m m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u00e1y n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 vai ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u1ec9nh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c vai v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh; khi b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) v\u00e0 hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom): Neckline l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i qua \u0111\u00e1y gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (v\u1edbi Double Top) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y (v\u1edbi Double Bottom). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh r\u1ea5t ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng sideway.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: Cup and Handle, Flag, Pennant): Ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng swing high ho\u1eb7c swing low r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u201cnhi\u1ec5u nh\u1ecf\u201d ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, v\u00ec ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1eadt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u1eabn \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ec9nh \u2013 \u0111\u00e1y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2. D\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng (trendline) \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nSau khi \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng, b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n neckline l\u00e0 d\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trendline \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u00fap trader c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u201cranh gi\u1edbi\u201d quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Khi k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline, trader c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed1i ph\u1ea3i \u0111i qua t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u hai \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng (\u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y), v\u00e0 l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady. C\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, neckline c\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u00fang chu\u1ea9n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng n\u1ed1i h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top):
N\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, l\u00e0 n\u01a1i gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 khi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trendline c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ngang ho\u1eb7c h\u01a1i nghi\u00eang:
Neckline th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1eb3ng m\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nghi\u00eang l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c nghi\u00eang xu\u1ed1ng nh\u1eb9 t\u00f9y v\u00e0o c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.
\n\n- Neckline d\u1ed1c l\u00ean cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua c\u00f2n kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Neckline d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Ch\u1ec9 k\u1ebb \u1edf khung th\u1eddi gian c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u (H1 tr\u1edf l\u00ean cho \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u01afu ti\u00ean d\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda (close) thay v\u00ec b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec5u, nh\u01b0ng trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u1ea3 hai.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng c\u1ed1 \u00e9p c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o trendline; n\u1ebfu th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng \u201ch\u1ee3p t\u00e1c\u201d, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c k\u1ebb \u0111\u00fang trendline \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh neckline kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u00fap trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1, m\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u00f2n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng breakout m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. D\u00f9ng trendline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc then ch\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng cao hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. \u01afu ti\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nKhi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline, vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 H4, D1 ho\u1eb7c W1 th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra neckline \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng khung th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ecf (M5, M15, M30), gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u, d\u1ec5 nhi\u1ec5u v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh sai neckline ho\u1eb7c g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u201cbreak gi\u1ea3\u201d, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ec sao n\u00ean \u01b0u ti\u00ean khung l\u1edbn khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch neckline?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- \u0110\u1ed9 nhi\u1ec5u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: M\u1ed7i c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn tr\u00ean khung l\u1edbn bao h\u00e0m nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecf, gi\u00fap lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n: C\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top, Double Bottom\u2026 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng chu\u1ea9n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin h\u01a1n: Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline tr\u00ean khung H4 ho\u1eb7c D1, l\u1ef1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khung nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng cao h\u01a1n: V\u00ec \u00edt x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian t\u1ed1i \u01b0u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n: \u01b0u ti\u00ean D1 v\u00e0 H4 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao: d\u00f9ng H1, nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i (confirmation) tr\u00ean H4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh d\u1ef1a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c khung qu\u00e1 nh\u1ecf (M1 \u0111\u1ebfn M15), tr\u1eeb khi backtest ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch vi m\u00f4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u01afu ti\u00ean c\u00e1c khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn gi\u00fap trader nh\u00ecn r\u00f5 h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u sai l\u1ea7m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc quan tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 trader n\u00e0o giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng n\u00ean ghi nh\u1edb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. Ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nSau khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c neckline v\u00e0 k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng xem neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby “breakout gi\u1ea3”, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Volume ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n. Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh, volume s\u1ebd cho trader bi\u1ebft li\u1ec7u phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 gi\u00fap t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
Volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf l\u1ef1c mua \u0111\u00e3 quay l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top): Volume t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi ph\u00e1 neckline xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu volume th\u1ea5p khi break: \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, trader n\u00ean ch\u1edd th\u00eam n\u1ebfn x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c retest neckline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- RSI: T\u00ecm ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 RSI \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1y m\u00e0 neckline d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MACD: MACD c\u1eaft l\u00ean (ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ed1ng) \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng neckline l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MA (Moving Average): Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u01b0\u1ee3t MA quan tr\u1ecdng (nh\u01b0 MA50, MA200), t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume Profile ho\u1eb7c VWAP: D\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n l\u1edbn, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1\/h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra neckline b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Khi ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1, trader r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh l\u1eeba b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c thi\u1ebfu thanh kho\u1ea3n. Volume v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 \u201ct\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn\u201d, gi\u00fap trader gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh sai, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0m r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c mua b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng sau khi ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop loss trong c\u00e1c b\u1eaby gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u0169ng gi\u00fap trader ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 breakout x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u00fang v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ef1 tin v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
5. Ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nB\u00ean c\u1ea1nh volume v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng th\u00eam nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a neckline. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xem \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng hay kh\u00f4ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m nguy c\u01a1 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Fibonacci Retracement. Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng Fibonacci \u0111\u1ec3 xem neckline c\u00f3 tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 38.2%, 50% ho\u1eb7c 61.8% kh\u00f4ng. Khi neckline tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t trong c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, Fibonacci Extension gi\u00fap \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline, cho ph\u00e9p trader l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd. Trendline ph\u1ee5, k\u00eanh gi\u00e1 (price channel) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (MA100, MA200) c\u0169ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng. N\u1ebfu neckline giao c\u1eaft ho\u1eb7c tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111ang mang t\u00ednh \u201ch\u1ee3p l\u01b0u\u201d m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ec5 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u00fap trader h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf sai l\u1ec7ch khi v\u1ebd neckline, t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng trong quy tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline n\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nTrong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf giao d\u1ecbch, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ban \u0111\u1ea7u. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi s\u00e2u h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi cao h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Khi \u0111\u00f3, trader n\u00ean ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i trendline c\u1ee7a neckline: n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n, c\u1ea7n k\u00e9o l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi n\u00e0y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi tr\u00e1nh vi\u1ec7c trader giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u1ed9t neckline \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ed7i th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u01b0u \u00fd khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Kh\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh qu\u00e1 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 volume ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, trader n\u00ean xem x\u00e9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh m\u1edbi thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 b\u00e1m v\u00e0o m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u0169.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Lu\u00f4n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a neckline (ngang, d\u1ed1c l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng) v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u00fd ngh\u0129a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Vi\u1ec7c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt neckline m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng breakout kh\u00e1c so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, v\u00ec v\u1eady trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam cho ph\u00e9p trader b\u00e1m s\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u0169 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cho nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout ho\u1eb7c retest quan tr\u1ecdng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u1ecdc hi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p khi giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline, trader th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1eafc ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 sai l\u1ea7m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch. Hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7i n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap n\u00e2ng cao \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p l\u00e0 v\u1ebd sai ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n. Nhi\u1ec1u trader v\u1ed9i x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ee7 h\u00e0nh vi gi\u00e1, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn breakout gi\u1ea3 ho\u1eb7c retest kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ngay khi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m neckline m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u00fd do ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn khi\u1ebfn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t l\u1ed7i kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u1ecf qua volume ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn. Breakout m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u. Ngo\u00e0i ra, kh\u00f4ng xem x\u00e9t b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c trend, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u1eefa l\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e9m. Stop-loss qu\u00e1 ch\u1eb7t ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 r\u1ed9ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7t take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thua l\u1ed7 ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed, trader \u0111\u00f4i khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o retest nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh sai l\u1ea7m ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec3u v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n, n\u00e2ng cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1, qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n khoa h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng trong th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Neckline tr\u00ean Ultima Markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nSau khi n\u1eafm v\u1eefng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft v\u1ec1 neckline, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh tr\u00ean n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader n\u00e2ng cao k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 tin trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Ultima Markets cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 v\u00e0 t\u00ednh n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, t\u1eeb bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111a khung th\u1eddi gian, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ebfn volume v\u00e0 n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c, gi\u00fap vi\u1ec7c quan s\u00e1t v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ngo\u00e0i vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, neckline c\u00f2n gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1. C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u\u201d xu\u1ed1ng neckline r\u1ed3i d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng xu\u1ed1ng b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. C\u00e1ch \u0111o n\u00e0y cho trader m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u00e0 c\u00f3 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0a chu\u1ed9ng v\u00ec t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trader v\u1eabn n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 volume, n\u1ebfn x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Inverse Head and Shoulders)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c (Inverse Head and Shoulders) l\u00e0 phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf cu\u1ed1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u trader xem nh\u01b0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm cho s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m ba \u0111\u00e1y: vai tr\u00e1i, \u0111\u1ea7u, v\u00e0 vai ph\u1ea3i, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf gi\u1eefa (\u0111\u1ea7u) s\u00e2u h\u01a1n hai \u0111\u00e1y c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i. Neckline \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u1ed1i hai \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i – \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u – vai ph\u1ea3i. Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y, neckline \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng. Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trader th\u01b0\u1eddng theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd pha breakout kh\u1ecfi neckline, v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 trader ch\u1ecdn v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ngay khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline, trong khi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi giao d\u1ecbch th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n s\u1ebd ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i neckline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 r\u1ee7i ro\/l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nT\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 (take profit) c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u\u201d l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline r\u1ed3i d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay v\u00ec ph\u1ecfng \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ea3m t\u00ednh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 h\u1eefu \u00edch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi trader theo tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1i price action. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1eeb n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, volume t\u0103ng trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o nh\u01b0 RSI hay MACD \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang m\u1ea5t d\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u1ec9nh li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 cao t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhau, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u00e1y h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. D\u00f9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nhau, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trader th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout kh\u1ecfi neckline \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n, ho\u1eb7c ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra neckline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. C\u00e1ch \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u kh\u00e1c: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh xu\u1ed1ng neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nM\u1ed9t \u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u kh\u00e1 d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00f4i khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, khi\u1ebfn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume t\u0103ng trong pha gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chuy\u1ec3n sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u00e1y li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 s\u00e2u g\u1ea7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, l\u1ef1c mua th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u trader coi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u00e1y<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi giao d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, c\u00f3 hai c\u00e1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi trader mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 retest neckline, d\u00e0nh cho trader th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 ng\u1eafn h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e0y l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c take profit mang t\u00ednh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u1ee7 quan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tuy l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft, nh\u01b0ng Double Bottom c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u sai n\u1ebfu hai \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline nh\u01b0ng thi\u1ebfu volume h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi breakout neckline<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline (Breakout)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nKhi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1edf ra c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao. Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin, trader c\u1ea7n hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 c\u00e1ch nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nT\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 mang \u00fd ngh\u0129a x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u1eb1m ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u00eda tr\u00ean ho\u1eb7c ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi neckline, t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t nh\u1eb9 neckline r\u1ed3i \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ean trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh, \u0111\u00f3 ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 breakout th\u1eadt, \u0111\u00e2y th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a false breakout ho\u1eb7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i ngang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u00e0 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c mua\/b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i xuy\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch (volume) th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 tham gia.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 khi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n khi v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ee7i ro trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n2. Volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nVolume l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t gi\u00fap x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin hay kh\u00f4ng. Khi gi\u00e1 breakout nh\u01b0ng volume kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng, \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201c\u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1\u201d c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m nh\u1ecf trader, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn false breakout. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh ngay th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn \u0111ang tham gia v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Volume t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn, cao h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng li\u00ean t\u1ee5c trong 1 \u0111\u1ebfn 3 n\u1ebfn sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phe mua (ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n) th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top\/Bottom, volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 khi breakout. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh. S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t b\u1ed9 l\u1ecdc gi\u00fap trader tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm, gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop-loss, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 giao d\u1ecbch khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nN\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle) l\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i n\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u00e2n d\u00e0i, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ho\u1eb7c s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- R\u00e2u n\u1ebfn ng\u1eafn, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (n\u1ebfu xem \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c) t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f9ng chi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u0103ng t\u1ed1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn momentum, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00e0i n\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 ki\u1ec3m tra nh\u1eb9 sau n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean v\u00e0o ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c khi n\u1ebfn v\u1eeba \u0111\u00f3ng, v\u00ec r\u1ee7i ro FOMO v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u: Trendline, MA, SR \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng: xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn xanh th\u00e2n d\u00e0i ph\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 canh buy khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 30\u201350% th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m: n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecf m\u1ea1nh ph\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1y, \u01b0u ti\u00ean sell khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
4. Breakout t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nBreakout x\u1ea3y ra khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ho\u1eb7c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u00edch l\u0169y v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c n\u00e9n \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh (high volatility), c\u00e1c phi\u00ean breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 cho bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 di chuy\u1ec3n r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\u2013th\u1ea5p l\u1edbn h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tin t\u1ee9c, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00f9ng gi\u1edd m\u1edf c\u1eeda (London\/New York) th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a breakout khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi: Sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway ho\u1eb7c t\u00edch l\u0169y, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u00f9ng breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng false-break th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: Khi l\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 \u201cph\u00e1 gi\u1ea3\u201d gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ea1o c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i l\u1ec7nh theo \u0111\u00e0 (momentum trading): Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng pullback nh\u1eb9 sau breakout \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c: Breakout trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 momentum th\u01b0\u1eddng thi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u0110\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh ch\u1edd theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Buy stop\/Sell stop \u1edf ngo\u00e0i v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng breakout m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0m stop-loss d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t n\u1ebfu c\u1ed1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y.
Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd: Do spread m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1y nhanh, c\u1ea7n SL r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p theo risk management.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\nV\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Khi tin Non-Farm ho\u1eb7c CPI ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh, gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n breakout k\u00e8m n\u1ebfn momentum, khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng di chuy\u1ec3n nhanh 30\u2013100 pips ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i ph\u00fat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phi\u00ean London m\u1edf c\u1eeda th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng, breakout kh\u1ecfi Asian range t\u1ea1o ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c London Breakout truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
5. Gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi\/ tr\u00ean ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u1ed9t breakout th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c v\u00f9ng tr\u00ean (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m) ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c. Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua ho\u1eb7c l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, gi\u00fap xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c n\u1ebfn sau breakout ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\/th\u1ea5p m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Pullback v\u1ec1 neckline, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd: L\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh: Neckline b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 k\u00e8m gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro false breakout: Breakout kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb k\u00e9o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ngay cho th\u1ea5y t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh theo chi\u1ec1u breakout sau khi n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- D\u00f9ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c stop-loss g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1y\/\u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. Ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u1ed9t breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea7n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. N\u1ebfu breakout x\u1ea3y ra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh ho\u1eb7c \u0111i tr\u00e1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c false breakout s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1edbn: Breakout theo h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh (trend) th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, breakout tr\u00ean neckline c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Double Bottom c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khi breakout ng\u01b0\u1ee3c chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u2013 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng: Neckline c\u00e0ng tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh, breakout c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u00edt quan tr\u1ecdng d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng: MACD, RSI, ho\u1eb7c ADX c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh tin t\u1ee9c v\u00e0 phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch: Breakout tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n cao (London, New York) ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c tin kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng breakout ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi \u201cd\u00f2ng ch\u00ednh\u201d c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u00fap trader l\u1ecdc t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3, tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang nhi\u1ec5u ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 tr\u00ean gi\u00fap trader x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo breakout hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng neckline chu\u1ea9n nh\u1ea5t cho trader<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nX\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang neckline l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 (breakout), thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 quy tr\u00ecnh chi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u01b0u \u00fd th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1y ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh quan tr\u1ecdng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nB\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline chu\u1ea9n l\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ea5u th\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, v\u00ec n\u1ebfu ch\u1ecdn sai \u0111i\u1ec3m, to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t \u00fd ngh\u0129a v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean k\u00e9m ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, m\u1ed7i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Trader c\u1ea7n quan s\u00e1t k\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra nh\u1eefng m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh theo t\u1eebng nh\u00f3m m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u00e1y n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 vai ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u1ec9nh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c vai v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh; khi b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) v\u00e0 hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom): Neckline l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i qua \u0111\u00e1y gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (v\u1edbi Double Top) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y (v\u1edbi Double Bottom). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh r\u1ea5t ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng sideway.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: Cup and Handle, Flag, Pennant): Ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng swing high ho\u1eb7c swing low r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u201cnhi\u1ec5u nh\u1ecf\u201d ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, v\u00ec ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1eadt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u1eabn \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ec9nh \u2013 \u0111\u00e1y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2. D\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng (trendline) \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nSau khi \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng, b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n neckline l\u00e0 d\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trendline \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u00fap trader c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u201cranh gi\u1edbi\u201d quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Khi k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline, trader c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed1i ph\u1ea3i \u0111i qua t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u hai \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng (\u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y), v\u00e0 l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady. C\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, neckline c\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u00fang chu\u1ea9n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng n\u1ed1i h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top):
N\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, l\u00e0 n\u01a1i gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 khi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trendline c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ngang ho\u1eb7c h\u01a1i nghi\u00eang:
Neckline th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1eb3ng m\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nghi\u00eang l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c nghi\u00eang xu\u1ed1ng nh\u1eb9 t\u00f9y v\u00e0o c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.
\n\n- Neckline d\u1ed1c l\u00ean cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua c\u00f2n kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Neckline d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Ch\u1ec9 k\u1ebb \u1edf khung th\u1eddi gian c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u (H1 tr\u1edf l\u00ean cho \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u01afu ti\u00ean d\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda (close) thay v\u00ec b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec5u, nh\u01b0ng trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u1ea3 hai.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng c\u1ed1 \u00e9p c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o trendline; n\u1ebfu th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng \u201ch\u1ee3p t\u00e1c\u201d, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c k\u1ebb \u0111\u00fang trendline \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh neckline kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u00fap trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1, m\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u00f2n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng breakout m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. D\u00f9ng trendline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc then ch\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng cao hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. \u01afu ti\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nKhi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline, vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 H4, D1 ho\u1eb7c W1 th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra neckline \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng khung th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ecf (M5, M15, M30), gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u, d\u1ec5 nhi\u1ec5u v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh sai neckline ho\u1eb7c g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u201cbreak gi\u1ea3\u201d, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ec sao n\u00ean \u01b0u ti\u00ean khung l\u1edbn khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch neckline?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- \u0110\u1ed9 nhi\u1ec5u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: M\u1ed7i c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn tr\u00ean khung l\u1edbn bao h\u00e0m nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecf, gi\u00fap lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n: C\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top, Double Bottom\u2026 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng chu\u1ea9n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin h\u01a1n: Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline tr\u00ean khung H4 ho\u1eb7c D1, l\u1ef1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khung nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng cao h\u01a1n: V\u00ec \u00edt x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian t\u1ed1i \u01b0u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n: \u01b0u ti\u00ean D1 v\u00e0 H4 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao: d\u00f9ng H1, nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i (confirmation) tr\u00ean H4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh d\u1ef1a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c khung qu\u00e1 nh\u1ecf (M1 \u0111\u1ebfn M15), tr\u1eeb khi backtest ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch vi m\u00f4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u01afu ti\u00ean c\u00e1c khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn gi\u00fap trader nh\u00ecn r\u00f5 h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u sai l\u1ea7m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc quan tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 trader n\u00e0o giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng n\u00ean ghi nh\u1edb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. Ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nSau khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c neckline v\u00e0 k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng xem neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby “breakout gi\u1ea3”, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Volume ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n. Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh, volume s\u1ebd cho trader bi\u1ebft li\u1ec7u phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 gi\u00fap t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
Volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf l\u1ef1c mua \u0111\u00e3 quay l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top): Volume t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi ph\u00e1 neckline xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu volume th\u1ea5p khi break: \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, trader n\u00ean ch\u1edd th\u00eam n\u1ebfn x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c retest neckline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- RSI: T\u00ecm ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 RSI \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1y m\u00e0 neckline d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MACD: MACD c\u1eaft l\u00ean (ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ed1ng) \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng neckline l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MA (Moving Average): Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u01b0\u1ee3t MA quan tr\u1ecdng (nh\u01b0 MA50, MA200), t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume Profile ho\u1eb7c VWAP: D\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n l\u1edbn, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1\/h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra neckline b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Khi ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1, trader r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh l\u1eeba b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c thi\u1ebfu thanh kho\u1ea3n. Volume v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 \u201ct\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn\u201d, gi\u00fap trader gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh sai, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0m r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c mua b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng sau khi ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop loss trong c\u00e1c b\u1eaby gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u0169ng gi\u00fap trader ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 breakout x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u00fang v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ef1 tin v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
5. Ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nB\u00ean c\u1ea1nh volume v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng th\u00eam nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a neckline. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xem \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng hay kh\u00f4ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m nguy c\u01a1 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Fibonacci Retracement. Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng Fibonacci \u0111\u1ec3 xem neckline c\u00f3 tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 38.2%, 50% ho\u1eb7c 61.8% kh\u00f4ng. Khi neckline tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t trong c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, Fibonacci Extension gi\u00fap \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline, cho ph\u00e9p trader l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd. Trendline ph\u1ee5, k\u00eanh gi\u00e1 (price channel) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (MA100, MA200) c\u0169ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng. N\u1ebfu neckline giao c\u1eaft ho\u1eb7c tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111ang mang t\u00ednh \u201ch\u1ee3p l\u01b0u\u201d m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ec5 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u00fap trader h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf sai l\u1ec7ch khi v\u1ebd neckline, t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng trong quy tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline n\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nTrong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf giao d\u1ecbch, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ban \u0111\u1ea7u. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi s\u00e2u h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi cao h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Khi \u0111\u00f3, trader n\u00ean ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i trendline c\u1ee7a neckline: n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n, c\u1ea7n k\u00e9o l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi n\u00e0y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi tr\u00e1nh vi\u1ec7c trader giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u1ed9t neckline \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ed7i th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u01b0u \u00fd khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Kh\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh qu\u00e1 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 volume ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, trader n\u00ean xem x\u00e9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh m\u1edbi thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 b\u00e1m v\u00e0o m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u0169.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Lu\u00f4n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a neckline (ngang, d\u1ed1c l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng) v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u00fd ngh\u0129a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Vi\u1ec7c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt neckline m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng breakout kh\u00e1c so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, v\u00ec v\u1eady trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam cho ph\u00e9p trader b\u00e1m s\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u0169 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cho nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout ho\u1eb7c retest quan tr\u1ecdng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u1ecdc hi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p khi giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline, trader th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1eafc ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 sai l\u1ea7m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch. Hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7i n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap n\u00e2ng cao \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p l\u00e0 v\u1ebd sai ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n. Nhi\u1ec1u trader v\u1ed9i x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ee7 h\u00e0nh vi gi\u00e1, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn breakout gi\u1ea3 ho\u1eb7c retest kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ngay khi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m neckline m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u00fd do ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn khi\u1ebfn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t l\u1ed7i kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u1ecf qua volume ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn. Breakout m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u. Ngo\u00e0i ra, kh\u00f4ng xem x\u00e9t b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c trend, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u1eefa l\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e9m. Stop-loss qu\u00e1 ch\u1eb7t ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 r\u1ed9ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7t take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thua l\u1ed7 ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed, trader \u0111\u00f4i khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o retest nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh sai l\u1ea7m ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec3u v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n, n\u00e2ng cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1, qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n khoa h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng trong th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Neckline tr\u00ean Ultima Markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nSau khi n\u1eafm v\u1eefng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft v\u1ec1 neckline, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh tr\u00ean n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader n\u00e2ng cao k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 tin trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Ultima Markets cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 v\u00e0 t\u00ednh n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, t\u1eeb bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111a khung th\u1eddi gian, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ebfn volume v\u00e0 n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c, gi\u00fap vi\u1ec7c quan s\u00e1t v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 (take profit) c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y \u201c\u0111\u1ea7u\u201d l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline r\u1ed3i d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay v\u00ec ph\u1ecfng \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ea3m t\u00ednh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 h\u1eefu \u00edch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi trader theo tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1i price action. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1eeb n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, volume t\u0103ng trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o nh\u01b0 RSI hay MACD \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang m\u1ea5t d\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u1ec9nh li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 cao t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhau, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u00e1y h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. D\u00f9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nhau, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trader th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout kh\u1ecfi neckline \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n, ho\u1eb7c ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra neckline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. C\u00e1ch \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u kh\u00e1c: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ec9nh xu\u1ed1ng neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nM\u1ed9t \u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u kh\u00e1 d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00f4i khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, khi\u1ebfn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume t\u0103ng trong pha gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chuy\u1ec3n sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u00e1y li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 s\u00e2u g\u1ea7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, l\u1ef1c mua th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u trader coi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u00e1y<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi giao d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, c\u00f3 hai c\u00e1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi trader mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 retest neckline, d\u00e0nh cho trader th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 ng\u1eafn h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e0y l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c take profit mang t\u00ednh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u1ee7 quan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tuy l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft, nh\u01b0ng Double Bottom c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u sai n\u1ebfu hai \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline nh\u01b0ng thi\u1ebfu volume h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi breakout neckline<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline (Breakout)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nKhi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1edf ra c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao. Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin, trader c\u1ea7n hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 c\u00e1ch nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nT\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 mang \u00fd ngh\u0129a x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u1eb1m ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u00eda tr\u00ean ho\u1eb7c ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi neckline, t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t nh\u1eb9 neckline r\u1ed3i \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ean trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh, \u0111\u00f3 ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 breakout th\u1eadt, \u0111\u00e2y th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a false breakout ho\u1eb7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i ngang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u00e0 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c mua\/b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i xuy\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch (volume) th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 tham gia.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 khi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n khi v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ee7i ro trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n2. Volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nVolume l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t gi\u00fap x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin hay kh\u00f4ng. Khi gi\u00e1 breakout nh\u01b0ng volume kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng, \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201c\u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1\u201d c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m nh\u1ecf trader, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn false breakout. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh ngay th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn \u0111ang tham gia v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Volume t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn, cao h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng li\u00ean t\u1ee5c trong 1 \u0111\u1ebfn 3 n\u1ebfn sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phe mua (ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n) th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top\/Bottom, volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 khi breakout. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh. S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t b\u1ed9 l\u1ecdc gi\u00fap trader tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm, gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop-loss, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 giao d\u1ecbch khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nN\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle) l\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i n\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u00e2n d\u00e0i, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ho\u1eb7c s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- R\u00e2u n\u1ebfn ng\u1eafn, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (n\u1ebfu xem \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c) t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f9ng chi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u0103ng t\u1ed1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn momentum, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00e0i n\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 ki\u1ec3m tra nh\u1eb9 sau n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean v\u00e0o ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c khi n\u1ebfn v\u1eeba \u0111\u00f3ng, v\u00ec r\u1ee7i ro FOMO v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u: Trendline, MA, SR \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng: xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn xanh th\u00e2n d\u00e0i ph\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 canh buy khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 30\u201350% th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m: n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecf m\u1ea1nh ph\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1y, \u01b0u ti\u00ean sell khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
4. Breakout t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nBreakout x\u1ea3y ra khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ho\u1eb7c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u00edch l\u0169y v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c n\u00e9n \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh (high volatility), c\u00e1c phi\u00ean breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 cho bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 di chuy\u1ec3n r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\u2013th\u1ea5p l\u1edbn h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tin t\u1ee9c, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00f9ng gi\u1edd m\u1edf c\u1eeda (London\/New York) th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a breakout khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi: Sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway ho\u1eb7c t\u00edch l\u0169y, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u00f9ng breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng false-break th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: Khi l\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 \u201cph\u00e1 gi\u1ea3\u201d gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ea1o c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i l\u1ec7nh theo \u0111\u00e0 (momentum trading): Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng pullback nh\u1eb9 sau breakout \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c: Breakout trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 momentum th\u01b0\u1eddng thi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u0110\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh ch\u1edd theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Buy stop\/Sell stop \u1edf ngo\u00e0i v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng breakout m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0m stop-loss d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t n\u1ebfu c\u1ed1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y.
Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd: Do spread m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1y nhanh, c\u1ea7n SL r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p theo risk management.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\nV\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Khi tin Non-Farm ho\u1eb7c CPI ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh, gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n breakout k\u00e8m n\u1ebfn momentum, khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng di chuy\u1ec3n nhanh 30\u2013100 pips ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i ph\u00fat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phi\u00ean London m\u1edf c\u1eeda th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng, breakout kh\u1ecfi Asian range t\u1ea1o ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c London Breakout truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
5. Gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi\/ tr\u00ean ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u1ed9t breakout th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c v\u00f9ng tr\u00ean (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m) ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c. Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua ho\u1eb7c l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, gi\u00fap xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c n\u1ebfn sau breakout ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\/th\u1ea5p m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Pullback v\u1ec1 neckline, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd: L\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh: Neckline b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 k\u00e8m gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro false breakout: Breakout kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb k\u00e9o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ngay cho th\u1ea5y t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh theo chi\u1ec1u breakout sau khi n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- D\u00f9ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c stop-loss g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1y\/\u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. Ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nM\u1ed9t breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea7n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. N\u1ebfu breakout x\u1ea3y ra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh ho\u1eb7c \u0111i tr\u00e1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c false breakout s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1edbn: Breakout theo h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh (trend) th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, breakout tr\u00ean neckline c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Double Bottom c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khi breakout ng\u01b0\u1ee3c chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u2013 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng: Neckline c\u00e0ng tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh, breakout c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u00edt quan tr\u1ecdng d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng: MACD, RSI, ho\u1eb7c ADX c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh tin t\u1ee9c v\u00e0 phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch: Breakout tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n cao (London, New York) ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c tin kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng breakout ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi \u201cd\u00f2ng ch\u00ednh\u201d c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u00fap trader l\u1ecdc t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3, tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang nhi\u1ec5u ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 tr\u00ean gi\u00fap trader x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo breakout hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng neckline chu\u1ea9n nh\u1ea5t cho trader<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nX\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang neckline l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 (breakout), thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 quy tr\u00ecnh chi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u01b0u \u00fd th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1y ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh quan tr\u1ecdng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nB\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline chu\u1ea9n l\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ea5u th\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, v\u00ec n\u1ebfu ch\u1ecdn sai \u0111i\u1ec3m, to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t \u00fd ngh\u0129a v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean k\u00e9m ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, m\u1ed7i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Trader c\u1ea7n quan s\u00e1t k\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra nh\u1eefng m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh theo t\u1eebng nh\u00f3m m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u00e1y n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 vai ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u1ec9nh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c vai v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh; khi b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) v\u00e0 hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom): Neckline l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i qua \u0111\u00e1y gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (v\u1edbi Double Top) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y (v\u1edbi Double Bottom). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh r\u1ea5t ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng sideway.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: Cup and Handle, Flag, Pennant): Ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng swing high ho\u1eb7c swing low r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u201cnhi\u1ec5u nh\u1ecf\u201d ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, v\u00ec ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1eadt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u1eabn \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ec9nh \u2013 \u0111\u00e1y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2. D\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng (trendline) \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nSau khi \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng, b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n neckline l\u00e0 d\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trendline \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u00fap trader c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u201cranh gi\u1edbi\u201d quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Khi k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline, trader c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed1i ph\u1ea3i \u0111i qua t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u hai \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng (\u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y), v\u00e0 l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady. C\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, neckline c\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u00fang chu\u1ea9n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng n\u1ed1i h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top):
N\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, l\u00e0 n\u01a1i gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 khi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trendline c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ngang ho\u1eb7c h\u01a1i nghi\u00eang:
Neckline th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1eb3ng m\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nghi\u00eang l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c nghi\u00eang xu\u1ed1ng nh\u1eb9 t\u00f9y v\u00e0o c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.
\n\n- Neckline d\u1ed1c l\u00ean cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua c\u00f2n kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Neckline d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Ch\u1ec9 k\u1ebb \u1edf khung th\u1eddi gian c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u (H1 tr\u1edf l\u00ean cho \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u01afu ti\u00ean d\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda (close) thay v\u00ec b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec5u, nh\u01b0ng trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u1ea3 hai.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng c\u1ed1 \u00e9p c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o trendline; n\u1ebfu th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng \u201ch\u1ee3p t\u00e1c\u201d, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c k\u1ebb \u0111\u00fang trendline \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh neckline kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u00fap trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1, m\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u00f2n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng breakout m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. D\u00f9ng trendline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc then ch\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng cao hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. \u01afu ti\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nKhi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline, vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 H4, D1 ho\u1eb7c W1 th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra neckline \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng khung th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ecf (M5, M15, M30), gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u, d\u1ec5 nhi\u1ec5u v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh sai neckline ho\u1eb7c g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u201cbreak gi\u1ea3\u201d, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ec sao n\u00ean \u01b0u ti\u00ean khung l\u1edbn khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch neckline?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- \u0110\u1ed9 nhi\u1ec5u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: M\u1ed7i c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn tr\u00ean khung l\u1edbn bao h\u00e0m nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecf, gi\u00fap lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n: C\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top, Double Bottom\u2026 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng chu\u1ea9n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin h\u01a1n: Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline tr\u00ean khung H4 ho\u1eb7c D1, l\u1ef1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khung nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng cao h\u01a1n: V\u00ec \u00edt x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian t\u1ed1i \u01b0u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n: \u01b0u ti\u00ean D1 v\u00e0 H4 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao: d\u00f9ng H1, nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i (confirmation) tr\u00ean H4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh d\u1ef1a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c khung qu\u00e1 nh\u1ecf (M1 \u0111\u1ebfn M15), tr\u1eeb khi backtest ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch vi m\u00f4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u01afu ti\u00ean c\u00e1c khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn gi\u00fap trader nh\u00ecn r\u00f5 h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u sai l\u1ea7m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc quan tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 trader n\u00e0o giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng n\u00ean ghi nh\u1edb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. Ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nSau khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c neckline v\u00e0 k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng xem neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby “breakout gi\u1ea3”, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Volume ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n. Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh, volume s\u1ebd cho trader bi\u1ebft li\u1ec7u phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 gi\u00fap t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
Volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf l\u1ef1c mua \u0111\u00e3 quay l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top): Volume t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi ph\u00e1 neckline xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu volume th\u1ea5p khi break: \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, trader n\u00ean ch\u1edd th\u00eam n\u1ebfn x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c retest neckline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- RSI: T\u00ecm ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 RSI \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1y m\u00e0 neckline d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MACD: MACD c\u1eaft l\u00ean (ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ed1ng) \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng neckline l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MA (Moving Average): Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u01b0\u1ee3t MA quan tr\u1ecdng (nh\u01b0 MA50, MA200), t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume Profile ho\u1eb7c VWAP: D\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n l\u1edbn, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1\/h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra neckline b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Khi ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1, trader r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh l\u1eeba b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c thi\u1ebfu thanh kho\u1ea3n. Volume v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 \u201ct\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn\u201d, gi\u00fap trader gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh sai, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0m r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c mua b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng sau khi ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop loss trong c\u00e1c b\u1eaby gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u0169ng gi\u00fap trader ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 breakout x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u00fang v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ef1 tin v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
5. Ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nB\u00ean c\u1ea1nh volume v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng th\u00eam nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a neckline. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xem \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng hay kh\u00f4ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m nguy c\u01a1 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Fibonacci Retracement. Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng Fibonacci \u0111\u1ec3 xem neckline c\u00f3 tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 38.2%, 50% ho\u1eb7c 61.8% kh\u00f4ng. Khi neckline tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t trong c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, Fibonacci Extension gi\u00fap \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline, cho ph\u00e9p trader l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd. Trendline ph\u1ee5, k\u00eanh gi\u00e1 (price channel) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (MA100, MA200) c\u0169ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng. N\u1ebfu neckline giao c\u1eaft ho\u1eb7c tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111ang mang t\u00ednh \u201ch\u1ee3p l\u01b0u\u201d m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ec5 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u00fap trader h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf sai l\u1ec7ch khi v\u1ebd neckline, t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng trong quy tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline n\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\nTrong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf giao d\u1ecbch, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ban \u0111\u1ea7u. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi s\u00e2u h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi cao h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Khi \u0111\u00f3, trader n\u00ean ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i trendline c\u1ee7a neckline: n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n, c\u1ea7n k\u00e9o l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi n\u00e0y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi tr\u00e1nh vi\u1ec7c trader giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u1ed9t neckline \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ed7i th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u01b0u \u00fd khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Kh\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh qu\u00e1 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 volume ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, trader n\u00ean xem x\u00e9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh m\u1edbi thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 b\u00e1m v\u00e0o m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u0169.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Lu\u00f4n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a neckline (ngang, d\u1ed1c l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng) v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u00fd ngh\u0129a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Vi\u1ec7c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt neckline m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng breakout kh\u00e1c so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, v\u00ec v\u1eady trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam cho ph\u00e9p trader b\u00e1m s\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u0169 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cho nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout ho\u1eb7c retest quan tr\u1ecdng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u1ecdc hi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p khi giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline, trader th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1eafc ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 sai l\u1ea7m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch. Hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7i n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap n\u00e2ng cao \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p l\u00e0 v\u1ebd sai ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n. Nhi\u1ec1u trader v\u1ed9i x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ee7 h\u00e0nh vi gi\u00e1, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn breakout gi\u1ea3 ho\u1eb7c retest kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ngay khi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m neckline m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u00fd do ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn khi\u1ebfn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t l\u1ed7i kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u1ecf qua volume ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn. Breakout m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u. Ngo\u00e0i ra, kh\u00f4ng xem x\u00e9t b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c trend, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u1eefa l\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e9m. Stop-loss qu\u00e1 ch\u1eb7t ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 r\u1ed9ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7t take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thua l\u1ed7 ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed, trader \u0111\u00f4i khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o retest nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh sai l\u1ea7m ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec3u v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n, n\u00e2ng cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1, qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n khoa h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng trong th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Neckline tr\u00ean Ultima Markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\nSau khi n\u1eafm v\u1eefng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft v\u1ec1 neckline, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh tr\u00ean n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader n\u00e2ng cao k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 tin trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Ultima Markets cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 v\u00e0 t\u00ednh n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, t\u1eeb bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111a khung th\u1eddi gian, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ebfn volume v\u00e0 n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c, gi\u00fap vi\u1ec7c quan s\u00e1t v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t \u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u kh\u00e1 d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u00f4i khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra hai \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, khi\u1ebfn m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume t\u0103ng trong pha gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom) l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chuy\u1ec3n sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh g\u1ed3m hai \u0111\u00e1y li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 s\u00e2u g\u1ea7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng, ng\u0103n c\u00e1ch b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u1edf gi\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, neckline ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ebd qua \u0111\u1ec9nh n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean. T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, l\u1ef1c mua th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u trader coi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n
\nNeckline trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u00e1y<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n Khi giao d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y, c\u00f3 hai c\u00e1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi trader mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1ecbp t\u0103ng ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 retest neckline, d\u00e0nh cho trader th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, mu\u1ed1n c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 ng\u1eafn h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kh\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n: \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1y l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn neckline, sau \u0111\u00f3 d\u1ef1 ph\u00f3ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e0y l\u00ean ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c take profit mang t\u00ednh k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u1ee7 quan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tuy l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh d\u1ec5 nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft, nh\u01b0ng Double Bottom c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u sai n\u1ebfu hai \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline nh\u01b0ng thi\u1ebfu volume h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader n\u00ean k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- RSI ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi breakout neckline<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline (Breakout)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1edf ra c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao. Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin, trader c\u1ea7n hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 c\u00e1ch nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh h\u1ee3p l\u00fd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 mang \u00fd ngh\u0129a x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn khi c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u1eb1m ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u00eda tr\u00ean ho\u1eb7c ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi neckline, t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t nh\u1eb9 neckline r\u1ed3i \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ean trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh, \u0111\u00f3 ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 breakout th\u1eadt, \u0111\u00e2y th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a false breakout ho\u1eb7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i ngang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u00e0 d\u1ee9t kho\u00e1t, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c mua\/b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i xuy\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch (volume) th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 tham gia.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t c\u00fa breakout ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u1ec7 khi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n khi v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf r\u1ee7i ro trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o b\u1eaby gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n2. Volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Volume l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t gi\u00fap x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin hay kh\u00f4ng. Khi gi\u00e1 breakout nh\u01b0ng volume kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng, \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201c\u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1\u201d c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m nh\u1ecf trader, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn false breakout. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, khi volume t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh ngay th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn \u0111ang tham gia v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Volume t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn, cao h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh nh\u1eefng phi\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng li\u00ean t\u1ee5c trong 1 \u0111\u1ebfn 3 n\u1ebfn sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phe mua (ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n) th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Trong nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top\/Bottom, volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 khi breakout. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh. S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t b\u1ed9 l\u1ecdc gi\u00fap trader tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm, gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop-loss, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 giao d\u1ecbch khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
N\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c (momentum candle) l\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i n\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u00e2n d\u00e0i, \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n. S\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ho\u1eb7c s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn d\u00e0i v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- R\u00e2u n\u1ebfn ng\u1eafn, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t (n\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng (n\u1ebfu xem \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c) t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f9ng chi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 vi\u1ec7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady: N\u1ebfu n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u0103ng t\u1ed1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn momentum, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00e0i n\u1ebfn ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Ch\u1edd gi\u00e1 ki\u1ec3m tra nh\u1eb9 sau n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean v\u00e0o ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c khi n\u1ebfn v\u1eeba \u0111\u00f3ng, v\u00ec r\u1ee7i ro FOMO v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eb9.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u: Trendline, MA, SR \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng: xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn xanh th\u00e2n d\u00e0i ph\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 canh buy khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 30\u201350% th\u00e2n n\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m: n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecf m\u1ea1nh ph\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1y, \u01b0u ti\u00ean sell khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
4. Breakout t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Breakout x\u1ea3y ra khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ho\u1eb7c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u00edch l\u0169y v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c n\u00e9n \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh (high volatility), c\u00e1c phi\u00ean breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n v\u00e0 cho bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 di chuy\u1ec3n r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\u2013th\u1ea5p l\u1edbn h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t n\u1ebfn breakout r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tin t\u1ee9c, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf ho\u1eb7c phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00f9ng gi\u1edd m\u1edf c\u1eeda (London\/New York) th\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a c\u1ee7a breakout khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi: Sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n sideway ho\u1eb7c t\u00edch l\u0169y, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u00f9ng breakout th\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng false-break th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: Khi l\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 \u201cph\u00e1 gi\u1ea3\u201d gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ea1o c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i l\u1ec7nh theo \u0111\u00e0 (momentum trading): Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng pullback nh\u1eb9 sau breakout \u0111\u1ec3 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c: Breakout trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 momentum th\u01b0\u1eddng thi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u0110\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh ch\u1edd theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Buy stop\/Sell stop \u1edf ngo\u00e0i v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng breakout m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng: Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00e0m stop-loss d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t n\u1ebfu c\u1ed1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y.
Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd: Do spread m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1y nhanh, c\u1ea7n SL r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p theo risk management.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\nV\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Khi tin Non-Farm ho\u1eb7c CPI ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh, gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00f9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n breakout k\u00e8m n\u1ebfn momentum, khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng di chuy\u1ec3n nhanh 30\u2013100 pips ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i ph\u00fat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Phi\u00ean London m\u1edf c\u1eeda th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng, breakout kh\u1ecfi Asian range t\u1ea1o ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c London Breakout truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
5. Gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi\/ tr\u00ean ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t breakout th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m tra v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng) ho\u1eb7c v\u00f9ng tr\u00ean (v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m) ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c. Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua ho\u1eb7c l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o, gi\u00fap xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0110\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1eadn bi\u1ebft:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i neckline, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ea1m ho\u1eb7c v\u01b0\u1ee3t t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c n\u1ebfn sau breakout ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao\/th\u1ea5p m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Pullback v\u1ec1 neckline, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra nh\u1eb9 v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd: L\u1ef1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh: Neckline b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 k\u00e8m gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro false breakout: Breakout kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb k\u00e9o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ngay cho th\u1ea5y t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- V\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh theo chi\u1ec1u breakout sau khi n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- D\u00f9ng c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c stop-loss g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1y\/\u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p volume ho\u1eb7c n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t neckline v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh thu\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. Ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua neckline m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea7n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. N\u1ebfu breakout x\u1ea3y ra ng\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh ho\u1eb7c \u0111i tr\u00e1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c false breakout s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1edbn: Breakout theo h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh (trend) th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, breakout tr\u00ean neckline c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Double Bottom c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khi breakout ng\u01b0\u1ee3c chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u2013 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng: Neckline c\u00e0ng tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh, breakout c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u00edt quan tr\u1ecdng d\u1ec5 t\u1ea1o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng: MACD, RSI, ho\u1eb7c ADX c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh tin t\u1ee9c v\u00e0 phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch: Breakout tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n cao (London, New York) ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c tin kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a trong giao d\u1ecbch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- X\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng breakout ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi \u201cd\u00f2ng ch\u00ednh\u201d c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u0103ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Gi\u00fap trader l\u1ecdc t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3, tr\u00e1nh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang nhi\u1ec5u ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 tr\u00ean gi\u00fap trader x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo breakout hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ecb th\u1ebf t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng neckline chu\u1ea9n nh\u1ea5t cho trader<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang neckline l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 (breakout), thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 quy tr\u00ecnh chi ti\u1ebft v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng l\u01b0u \u00fd th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1. X\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1y ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh quan tr\u1ecdng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
B\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline chu\u1ea9n l\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ea5u th\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, v\u00ec n\u1ebfu ch\u1ecdn sai \u0111i\u1ec3m, to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t \u00fd ngh\u0129a v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout tr\u1edf n\u00ean k\u00e9m ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, m\u1ed7i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u ho\u1eb7c ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh. Trader c\u1ea7n quan s\u00e1t k\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra nh\u1eefng m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o ra v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh theo t\u1eebng nh\u00f3m m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u00e1y n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 vai ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u1ec9nh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c vai v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh; khi b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (Double Top) v\u00e0 hai \u0111\u00e1y (Double Bottom): Neckline l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i qua \u0111\u00e1y gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u1ec9nh (v\u1edbi Double Top) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa hai \u0111\u00e1y (v\u1edbi Double Bottom). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh r\u1ea5t ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng sideway.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n (v\u00ed d\u1ee5: Cup and Handle, Flag, Pennant): Ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Ch\u1ec9 ch\u1ecdn nh\u1eefng swing high ho\u1eb7c swing low r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u201cnhi\u1ec5u nh\u1ecf\u201d ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, v\u00ec ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1eadt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u1eabn \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ec9nh \u2013 \u0111\u00e1y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u00fap \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh t\u1ef1 tin h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2. D\u00f9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng (trendline) \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Sau khi \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng, b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n neckline l\u00e0 d\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trendline \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc gi\u00fap trader c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ho\u1eb7c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u201cranh gi\u1edbi\u201d quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Khi k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline, trader c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed1i ph\u1ea3i \u0111i qua t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u hai \u0111i\u1ec3m quan tr\u1ecdng (\u0111\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u00e1y), v\u00e0 l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady. C\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, neckline c\u00e0ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout sau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u00fang chu\u1ea9n:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eb3ng n\u1ed1i h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o neckline \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top):
N\u1ed1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1y quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, l\u00e0 n\u01a1i gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 khi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trendline c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ngang ho\u1eb7c h\u01a1i nghi\u00eang:
Neckline th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ph\u1eb3ng m\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nghi\u00eang l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c nghi\u00eang xu\u1ed1ng nh\u1eb9 t\u00f9y v\u00e0o c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.
\n- \n
- Neckline d\u1ed1c l\u00ean cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ef1c mua c\u00f2n kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Neckline d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
L\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Ch\u1ec9 k\u1ebb \u1edf khung th\u1eddi gian c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u (H1 tr\u1edf l\u00ean cho \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- \u01afu ti\u00ean d\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda (close) thay v\u00ec b\u00f3ng n\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec5u, nh\u01b0ng trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u1ea3 hai.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Kh\u00f4ng c\u1ed1 \u00e9p c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o trendline; n\u1ebfu th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng \u201ch\u1ee3p t\u00e1c\u201d, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c k\u1ebb \u0111\u00fang trendline \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh neckline kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u00fap trader nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1, m\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u00f2n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng breakout m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. D\u00f9ng trendline ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc then ch\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng cao hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3. \u01afu ti\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline, vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh. Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 H4, D1 ho\u1eb7c W1 th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra neckline \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng khung th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ecf (M5, M15, M30), gi\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u, d\u1ec5 nhi\u1ec5u v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean t\u1ea1o c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh sai neckline ho\u1eb7c g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u201cbreak gi\u1ea3\u201d, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh s\u1edbm v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
V\u00ec sao n\u00ean \u01b0u ti\u00ean khung l\u1edbn khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch neckline?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- \u0110\u1ed9 nhi\u1ec5u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n: M\u1ed7i c\u00e2y n\u1ebfn tr\u00ean khung l\u1edbn bao h\u00e0m nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecf, gi\u00fap lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng h\u01a1n: C\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac nh\u01b0 Head and Shoulders, Double Top, Double Bottom\u2026 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 h\u00ecnh d\u1ea1ng chu\u1ea9n h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin h\u01a1n: Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline tr\u00ean khung H4 ho\u1eb7c D1, l\u1ef1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi khung nh\u1ecf.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng cao h\u01a1n: V\u00ec \u00edt x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn khung th\u1eddi gian t\u1ed1i \u01b0u:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n: \u01b0u ti\u00ean D1 v\u00e0 H4 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c cao: d\u00f9ng H1, nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea7n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i (confirmation) tr\u00ean H4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Tr\u00e1nh d\u1ef1a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o c\u00e1c khung qu\u00e1 nh\u1ecf (M1 \u0111\u1ebfn M15), tr\u1eeb khi backtest ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch vi m\u00f4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u01afu ti\u00ean c\u00e1c khung th\u1eddi gian l\u1edbn gi\u00fap trader nh\u00ecn r\u00f5 h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u sai l\u1ea7m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc quan tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 trader n\u00e0o giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng n\u00ean ghi nh\u1edb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4. Ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn breakout<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Sau khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c neckline v\u00e0 k\u1ebb trendline \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng xem neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1eb1m tr\u00e1nh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o b\u1eaby “breakout gi\u1ea3”, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Volume ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n. Khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh, volume s\u1ebd cho trader bi\u1ebft li\u1ec7u phe mua ho\u1eb7c phe b\u00e1n c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 gi\u00fap t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
C\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng volume \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
Volume th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf l\u1ef1c mua \u0111\u00e3 quay l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n - Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders, Double Top): Volume t\u0103ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ec9nh nh\u01b0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh khi ph\u00e1 neckline xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu volume th\u1ea5p khi break: \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra false breakout, trader n\u00ean ch\u1edd th\u00eam n\u1ebfn x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c retest neckline.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p th\u00eam m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- RSI: T\u00ecm ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 RSI \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1y m\u00e0 neckline d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MACD: MACD c\u1eaft l\u00ean (ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ed1ng) \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng neckline l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u s\u1edbm c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- MA (Moving Average): Khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 neckline \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u01b0\u1ee3t MA quan tr\u1ecdng (nh\u01b0 MA50, MA200), t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Volume Profile ho\u1eb7c VWAP: D\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 thanh kho\u1ea3n l\u1edbn, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 neckline c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1\/h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra neckline b\u1eb1ng volume ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. Khi ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1, trader r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh l\u1eeba b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng c\u00fa ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 gi\u1ea3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh ho\u1eb7c thi\u1ebfu thanh kho\u1ea3n. Volume v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 \u201ct\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn\u201d, gi\u00fap trader gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh sai, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00e0m r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c mua b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng sau khi ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 neckline hay kh\u00f4ng. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb qu\u00e9t stop loss trong c\u00e1c b\u1eaby gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra th\u00eam c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u0169ng gi\u00fap trader ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 breakout x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u00fang v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ef1 tin v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
5. Ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh volume v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, trader n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng th\u00eam nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a neckline. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0y gi\u00fap x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xem \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline c\u00f3 th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 quan tr\u1ecdng hay kh\u00f4ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u1ea3m nguy c\u01a1 giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Fibonacci Retracement. Trader c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng Fibonacci \u0111\u1ec3 xem neckline c\u00f3 tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0 38.2%, 50% ho\u1eb7c 61.8% kh\u00f4ng. Khi neckline tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t trong c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o breakout \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, Fibonacci Extension gi\u00fap \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u00e1 sau khi ph\u00e1 neckline, cho ph\u00e9p trader l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd. Trendline ph\u1ee5, k\u00eanh gi\u00e1 (price channel) ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (MA100, MA200) c\u0169ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng. N\u1ebfu neckline giao c\u1eaft ho\u1eb7c tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111ang mang t\u00ednh \u201ch\u1ee3p l\u01b0u\u201d m\u1ea1nh, n\u01a1i d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ec5 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u00fap trader h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf sai l\u1ec7ch khi v\u1ebd neckline, t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn cho t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng trong quy tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p ho\u1eb7c xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
6. \u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline n\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Trong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf giao d\u1ecbch, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ho\u00e0n ch\u1ec9nh ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u. Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ban \u0111\u1ea7u. V\u00ec v\u1eady, trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u00fang h\u00e0nh vi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3\/kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi s\u00e2u h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Vai – \u0110\u1ea7u – Vai ng\u01b0\u1ee3c),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi cao h\u01a1n (trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Hai \u0111\u00e1y),<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Khi \u0111\u00f3, trader n\u00ean ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i trendline c\u1ee7a neckline: n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1edbi c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n, c\u1ea7n k\u00e9o l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng neckline \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi n\u00e0y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y gi\u00fap m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi tr\u00e1nh vi\u1ec7c trader giao d\u1ecbch theo m\u1ed9t neckline \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ed7i th\u1eddi ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 l\u01b0u \u00fd khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- \n
- Kh\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh qu\u00e1 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec9nh\/\u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 volume ho\u1eb7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- N\u1ebfu m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, trader n\u00ean xem x\u00e9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh m\u1edbi thay v\u00ec c\u1ed1 b\u00e1m v\u00e0o m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u0169.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Lu\u00f4n ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a neckline (ngang, d\u1ed1c l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng) v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u00fd ngh\u0129a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Vi\u1ec7c c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt neckline m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng breakout kh\u00e1c so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, v\u00ec v\u1eady trader c\u1ea7n linh ho\u1ea1t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00eam cho ph\u00e9p trader b\u00e1m s\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng, tr\u00e1nh giao d\u1ecbch d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u0169 v\u00e0 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cho nh\u1eefng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh breakout ho\u1eb7c retest quan tr\u1ecdng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader \u0111\u1ecdc hi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p khi giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n
\n<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\nKhi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo neckline, trader th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1eafc ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 sai l\u1ea7m ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a giao d\u1ecbch. Hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7i n\u00e0y s\u1ebd gi\u00fap n\u00e2ng cao \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p l\u00e0 v\u1ebd sai ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm neckline khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n. Nhi\u1ec1u trader v\u1ed9i x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m swing high\/swing low m\u00e0 ch\u01b0a quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ee7 h\u00e0nh vi gi\u00e1, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn breakout gi\u1ea3 ho\u1eb7c retest kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin. Li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh ngay khi gi\u00e1 ch\u1ea1m neckline m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1edd n\u1ebfn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u00fd do ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn khi\u1ebfn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u breakout th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t l\u1ed7i kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 b\u1ecf qua volume ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn. Breakout m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi, r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u. Ngo\u00e0i ra, kh\u00f4ng xem x\u00e9t b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn trader d\u1ec5 giao d\u1ecbch ng\u01b0\u1ee3c trend, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u1eefa l\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro k\u00e9m. Stop-loss qu\u00e1 ch\u1eb7t ho\u1eb7c qu\u00e1 r\u1ed9ng, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7t take profit h\u1ee3p l\u00fd, \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thua l\u1ed7 ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed, trader \u0111\u00f4i khi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o retest nh\u01b0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng quay l\u1ea1i, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh sai l\u1ea7m ho\u1eb7c b\u1ecf l\u1ee1 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hi\u1ec3u v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m n\u00e0y gi\u00fap trader giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi neckline hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n, n\u00e2ng cao kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng nh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n breakout th\u1eadt s\u1ef1, qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n khoa h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng trong th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Neckline tr\u00ean Ultima Markets<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Sau khi n\u1eafm v\u1eefng l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft v\u1ec1 neckline, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh tr\u00ean n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 b\u01b0\u1edbc quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00fap trader n\u00e2ng cao k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 tin trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Ultima Markets cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 v\u00e0 t\u00ednh n\u0103ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, t\u1eeb bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111a khung th\u1eddi gian, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ebfn volume v\u00e0 n\u1ebfn xung l\u1ef1c, gi\u00fap vi\u1ec7c quan s\u00e1t v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh neckline tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
- Trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
- V\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng (Inverted Head and Shoulders, Double Bottom):
- M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (Head and Shoulders): L\u1ea5y hai \u0111\u00e1y n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa vai tr\u00e1i \u2013 \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 vai ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebb neckline. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u.