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  • Australian Dollar Surges on Stronger-than-Expected CPI Data 

Australian Dollar Surges on Stronger-than-Expected CPI Data 

On Wednesday, the AUD/USD pair surged past 0.6800 level, marking its 8-month high. This was mainly due to the year-over-year CPI data rose by 3.5% in July, easing from 3.8% in June and surpassing expectations of 3.4%. 

(Australia CPI y/y Data, Source: Forex Factory) 

(Australia CPI y/y Data, Source: Forex Factory) 

As a result, this stronger-than-anticipated data prompted markets to slightly reduce the likelihood of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia in November, now estimated at 48.4% compared to 58% prior. 

However, the July inflation figures could be somewhat misleading. While the data suggests significant progress in combating inflation, part of the improvement is attributed to rebates that artificially lowered electricity costs. 

Tapas Strickland, head of market economics at the National Australia Bank, noted that the July report reveals limited further progress in reducing goods inflation. Despite this, markets are still fully pricing in a rate cut this year, partly due to the Federal Reserve’s near-certain move to ease policy next month, with additional cuts expected in Canada, Europe, and New Zealand. 

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Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.  

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Ultima Markets is a trading name shared amongst multiple entities operating in various jurisdictions. These following entities are authorised to operate under the Ultima Markets brand and trademarks.

  • Ultima Markets UK Limited, reference number 470325, is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). Registered address: 1 Blossom Yard, Fourth Floor, London, E1 6RS, UNITED KINGDOM.

  • Ultima Markets (Mauritius) Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Mauritius as a Full-Service Investment Dealer (excluding Underwriting), under licence number GB 23201593.

    Registered address: 2nd Floor, The Catalyst, 40 Silicon Avenue, Ebene Cybercity, 72201, Mauritius.

  • Ultima Markets EU OÜ is incorporated in Estonia with registry code 17134727. Registered address: Harju maakond, Tallinn, Kristiine linnaosa, Seebi tn 1-1501, 11316. Ultima Markets EU OÜ facilitates services on behalf of other licensed entities within the Ultima Markets Group, including, but not limited to, payment services. This entity does not offer regulated financial products or provide trading services.

  • Ultima Markets (Pty) Ltd is a licensed Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 52497) authorised and regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority ("FSCA") of South Africa. Ultima Markets (Pty) Ltd is neither the issuer nor the market maker of the derivative products made available through the FSP. It acts solely as an intermediary, as contemplated in the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act, 2002 ("FAIS Act"), between clients and Ultima Markets (Mauritius) Ltd (the "Product Provider"). Its services are limited to the provision of intermediary services in relation to derivative products issued by the Product Provider. Accordingly, Ultima Markets (Pty) Ltd does not act as principal, issuer, market maker, or counterparty in any client transaction. Registered Office: 18 Cavendish Road, Claremont, Cape Town, Western Cape 7708, South Africa.

  • Ultima Markets (Pty) Ltd, with registration number K2021950694, is licensed and authorised by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under FSP number 52497. Registered address: 183 Albion Springs, Rondebosch, Cape Town, Western Cape, 7700, South Africa.

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