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日圓重挫：高市阻礙日本央行升息預期

今日日圓下跌近1%，推動美元/日圓重返156.00關口上方（目前約156.20）。此次急跌逆轉了近期漲勢，儘管在美國新一輪關稅威脅引發全球「避險」情緒升溫的背景下，日圓仍未獲得支撐。

日圓重挫：高市阻礙日本央行升息預期

拋售觸發因素為何？

根據《每日新聞》報導，日本首相高市早苗在與日本央行總裁植田和男會面時，對進一步升息表達強烈關切。政府此一「偏鴿」立場大幅削弱市場對3月或4月升息的預期。

此外，最新全國CPI數據顯示，通膨降溫速度快於預期，並跌破日本央行2%的目標水準。這使日本央行進一步收緊貨幣政策的正當性下降。

在其他主要央行仍保持審慎態度之際，市場認為日本政府正主動阻礙政策正常化，使日圓再次成為吸引力下降的「套利」貨幣。

後市展望

市場將密切關注植田總裁即將發表的談話，觀察其是否維持相對鷹派的獨立立場，或向政治壓力妥協。

同時，若特朗普提出的15%全面關稅政策引發全球貿易戰，日圓或可能重新獲得「避險」買盤，但目前利差仍是主導匯價走勢的核心因素。

技術面觀察： 交易員關注157.00關口。若有效突破，或將打開重新測試160.00心理整數位的空間。

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