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美元因強勁非農就業數據上漲 

美元因強勁非農就業數據上漲 

上周五，失業率上升反映了家庭就業數據的疲軟。用來衡量失業率的小型且波動較大的家庭調查顯示，就業人數減少了35.5萬人。相比之下，11月非農就業人數增加了22.7萬人，高于10月經上調後增加的3.6萬人（原先報告為1.2萬人）。因此，美元指數上漲0.23%，收于105.97。 

（美元指數日線圖，來源：Trading View） 

（美元指數日線圖，來源：Trading View） 

過去四份報告中，月均就業增長逐漸降至15萬以下，這一水平被許多經濟學家認為不足以跟上不斷增長的人口需求。 

（美國非農就業數據，來源：LSEG）

（美國非農就業數據，來源：LSEG） 

非農就業數據發布後，美國利率期貨顯示美聯儲在本月晚些時候的政策會議上降息25個基點的概率已升至85%，高于報告發布前的約70%，據LSEG計算。與此同時，暫停降息的可能性從30%降至15%。 

預計美聯儲將繼續降息25個基點，以將貨幣政策從緊縮轉向中性。然而，預計美聯儲將暗示放緩降息步伐，1月FOMC會議暫停進一步決策的可能性顯得更加明確。 

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本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料僅供參考，旨在幫助讀者了解市場形勢，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施確保資料的准確性，但不能保證資料的絕對准確性，並可能隨時更改，恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets對于因直接或間接使用或依賴此類資料而可能導致的任何損失或虧損（包括但不限于利潤損失）不承擔責任。 

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