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澳大利亞儲備銀行維持利率在4.35%不變 

澳儲行顯示溫和鷹派立場 

周二,澳大利亞儲備銀行在12月的政策會議上維持現金利率在4.35%不變,顯示出更溫和的鷹派傾向。隨著澳儲行接近可能加入全球同行降息的步伐,未來的政策決定依然依賴于數據,這意味著最早可能在2月進行政策調整。 

(澳大利亞儲備銀行現金利率,來源:Forex Factory) 

(澳大利亞儲備銀行現金利率,來源:Forex Factory) 

市場普遍預期利率維持不變,但部分人士推測,由于第三季度經濟增長低于預期,澳儲行可能轉向鴿派。盡管勞動力市場表現出韌性(部分由公共部門就業增加支撐),工資增長仍低于預期。 

針對2月可能降息的問題,澳儲行行長米歇爾·布洛克表示,目前尚不確定,需要等待包括季度通脹數據、勞動力市場狀況以及消費指標在內的關鍵數據後再作決定。 

布洛克提到:“到目前為止,我們認為各項發展與我們的預測一致。如果這種趨勢持續下去,我們可能最終會確信通脹正在回歸目標區間,從而使我們能夠考慮降息。” 

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