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週四,由於PMI數據好於預期,導致英鎊大幅上漲,這表明英國經濟在第三季度有望實現穩健增長。8月份的綜合產出指數從7月份的52.8升至四個月來的最高點53.4,超出預期的52.9。服務業業務活動指數從7月份的52.5上升至53.3,超出預期的52.8。

(英國綜合PMI數據)

(英國服務業PMI數據)
在8月份,根據調查顯示,服務業增長也達到了四個月來的高峯值,而製造業產出則是這26個月來最快的速度增長。總體而言,商業活動表現出意外的強勁,服務業的強勁復甦抵消了之前製造業的深度下滑。
這一樂觀的經濟前景出現在通脹壓力減輕之際,則通常會爲英國央行進一步降息鋪平道路。然而,經濟表現強勁使得英國央行可以採取更加審慎的方式來決定是否進行額外的降息。總體來看,11月份是做出這些決定的理想時機,因爲屆時英國央行將會擁有更新的經濟預測。
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