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日央如預期按兵不動,股市鼓掌但日元失血 

上週五,日經 225 指數上漲 0.84%,收在 37,943.50 點,而東證指數亦步亦趨,升 0.86% 收在 2,686.45 點。 在日本央行如預期維持利率不變後,股市反彈收復前日大部分跌幅。 另外,該行消音先前有關續買債券言詞,且上修通膨前景,並表示預估經濟可維持健康成長。 

與此同時,投資人也咀嚼東京4月核心通膨率已降到兩年低點至1.6% 的資訊,物價冷卻主要受新推出教育補貼政策影響。 在美國科技股樂觀財報激勵下,科技業板塊上揚。 Tokyo Electron 上漲 1.9%,Advantest 漲 0.9%,軟銀集團大漲 2.4%,Recruit Holdings 上升 1.9%,Lasertec 跳漲 2.2%。 再者,財報優於預期,Socionext 與 Keyence 股價雙雙飆出 7.8%。 

週一,日本股市因昭和日休市一天。  

(Nikkei 225指數半年線圖) 

日元兌美元貶值,破156 水準。 今年到目前為止,日元對美元已貶值約 10%,其他主要經濟體利率較高,而日本央行仍將利率維持在幾乎為零的水平,使套利交易源源不絕。 急貶是否引起日央進場干預,投資人密切觀察。 

(USDJPY年線圖) 

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