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I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website周三,美聯儲將基准政策利率下調25個基點,達到4.25%-4.50%的區間。官員們暗示,由于勞動力市場條件保持穩定且通脹趨勢表現平穩,未來可能暫停進一步降息。這一鷹派基調推動美元上漲超過1%,創下兩年來新高。
(美元指數圖表,來源:Trading View)
美聯儲決策者上調了長期中性利率預期,大幅提高了2025年的通脹預測,並制定了明年進一步降息的計劃。然而,將較高的通脹預期與進一步的貨幣寬松相結合,在新聞發布會上對美聯儲主席鮑威爾來說是一項艱巨的挑戰。
“在評估進一步調整目標區間的範圍和時機時,委員會將密切關注最新數據、不斷變化的經濟前景以及相關風險,” 鮑威爾表示,並補充了新的表述,表明可能從1月28-29日的會議開始暫停降息。
此外,由于當選總統特朗普要到1月20日才上任,美聯儲官員也強調,貨幣政策不能基于仍存在不確定性的競選承諾。因此,美聯儲工作人員可能已經模擬了不同的情境。他們的預測顯示,明年經濟增長將高于潛力水平,達到2.1%,通脹將在未來兩年內超過目標水平,而失業率將保持在4.3%以下。
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
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