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This website is managed by Ultima Markets’ international entities, and it’s important to emphasise that they are not subject to regulation by the FCA in the UK. Therefore, you must understand that you will not have the FCA’s protection when investing through this website – for example:
Note: Ultima Markets is currently developing a dedicated website for UK clients and expects to onboard UK clients under FCA regulations in 2026.
If you would like to proceed and visit this website, you acknowledge and confirm the following:
Ultima Markets wants to make it clear that we are duly licensed and authorised to offer the services and financial derivative products listed on our website. Individuals accessing this website and registering a trading account do so entirely of their own volition and without prior solicitation.
By confirming your decision to proceed with entering the website, you hereby affirm that this decision was solely initiated by you, and no solicitation has been made by any Ultima Markets entity.
I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website全球金融市場即將迎來一場密集的利率決策風暴,包括美聯儲、英國央行、日本央行在內的多家主要央行將在約36小時內相繼公佈利率決議。這些決策將為全球經濟的最後一個季度定下基調,並對全球主要貨幣的走勢產生直接影響。
本周最核心的事件無疑是美聯儲的利率決議,市場普遍預測其將宣佈降息25個基點。這一預期是在複雜的背景下形成的:
一方面,白宮持續施壓要求降低借貸成本;另一方面,美聯儲主席鮑威爾對關稅可能引發的通脹保持警惕。
然而,近期就業市場顯現的疲軟跡象,最終為政策轉向寬鬆提供了關鍵理由,使得降息成為大概率事件。
儘管美聯儲可能轉向寬鬆,但全球其他主要央行的步調並不完全一致,呈現出明顯的分化態勢。
加拿大央行受國內經濟數據走弱影響,預計將與美聯儲同步降息。
相比之下,英國央行和日本央行大概率將維持當前利率不變,但市場將密切關注英國央行關於量化緊縮(QT)計畫的調整以及日本央行行長對未來加息路徑的任何暗示。
這種政策上的分歧將是本周市場交易的重要主題。
美元指數,日線圖 | 來源:Ultima Market MT5
目前日線圖美元指數在震盪一個月後,突破震盪區間下沿,下方即將遇阻關鍵支撐96.23附近。但是注意的是前期市場始終在計價美聯儲降息預期,警惕屆時買預期賣事實的行情出現。
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