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日元下跌，日本央行傳遞謹慎信號 

日本央行在通脹風險下維持利率穩定 

上周四，日本央行最新決定將利率維持在0.25%，行長未提供明確指引說明何時會提高借貸成本，推動日元貶值，同時因對近期加息的懷疑情緒增加，國債收益率受到影響。 

九人理事會一致決定維持短期政策利率在0.25%，反映出在美國當選總統特朗普經濟計劃的不確定性下，日本央行的保守立場。 

（日本央行政策利率，來源：LSEG） 

（日本央行政策利率，來源：LSEG） 

盡管如此，鷹派理事田村直樹投票反對，並提出未通過的動議，建議將利率提高至0.5%，理由是通脹風險加劇。日本央行行長上田和夫重申，只要經濟和價格發展符合預測，央行將“逐步”提高利率。 

周五，政府數據顯示，全國核心消費者物價指數（包括石油産品但不包括生鮮食品）11月同比上漲2.7%，高于市場普遍預期的2.6%。這一增速高于10月的2.3%，部分原因是大米價格居高不下以及政府削減補貼以抑制公用事業賬單的影響。 

（日本通脹圖表，來源：LSEG） 

（日本通脹圖表，來源：LSEG） 

這些數據在日本央行維持0.25%利率決定後不久發布，強調了通脹壓力日益增大，可能促使央行考慮進一步加息。然而，由于需評估明年工資談判結果，日本央行可能會推遲到明年3月再采取行動。 

免責聲明 

本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料僅供參考，旨在幫助讀者了解市場形勢，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施確保資料的准確性，但不能保證資料的絕對准確性，並可能隨時更改，恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets對于因直接或間接使用或依賴此類資料而可能導致的任何損失或虧損（包括但不限于利潤損失）不承擔責任。 

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