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I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website上周五,美國前總統唐納德·特朗普宣布,美國將對加拿大和墨西哥征收25%的關稅,並對中國征收10%的關稅。他警告稱,如果加拿大和墨西哥未能采取更強有力的措施阻止芬太尼及其前體化學品流入美國,以及遏制非法移民,將面臨進一步懲罰性關稅。此消息提振美元,推動其接近110水平。
(美元日線圖,來源:Trading View)
此外,特朗普承認,對墨西哥、加拿大和中國的全面關稅可能會給美國人帶來“短期”經濟痛苦。全球市場對此反應強烈,擔憂關稅可能放緩經濟增長並加劇通脹。他計劃于周一與加拿大和墨西哥領導人會談,盡管兩國已宣布報複性關稅,但他表示,不太可能改變決定。
特朗普的關稅將影響美國近一半的進口商品,這要求美國將制造業産出提高一倍以上,短期內幾乎不可能實現。從經濟角度來看,貿易緊張局勢的升級對所有相關國家而言都是“雙輸”局面。這些關稅可能導致加拿大和墨西哥陷入經濟衰退,並引發更高的通脹、經濟增長停滯和失業率上升。
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