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I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website周四,英格蘭銀行發布的數據顯示,英國雇主對工資增長的預期繼續放緩。另一份報告顯示,11月英國建築業活動有所上升,但兩份報告對英鎊的影響均有限。然而,英鎊兌美元上漲0.45%,收于1.2758。
(GBPUSD日線圖,來源:Trading View)
與此同時,唐納德·特朗普的連任將市場焦點轉向了可能受到關稅沖擊的經濟體貨幣,如歐元和人民幣。而英國英鎊由于英國經濟在很大程度上未受到特朗普貿易政策的影響,因而相對避免了危機沖擊。英國服務主導型經濟體較少受到關稅影響,加之今年早些時候與美國實現的適度商品貿易順差,幫助英鎊避免了波動。
英格蘭銀行還指出,由于政府預算的影響,超過一半的受訪企業計劃提高價格並裁員。同一天,英國首相斯塔默重申了其政府對實現經濟增長目標的堅定承諾。
英國商會表示,2025年可能是一個充滿挑戰的年份,原因是就業成本上升和特朗普新政府可能對出口商品征收關稅。然而,英國商會的觀點比英國工業聯合會(CBI)更為樂觀,將其2025年的經濟增長預測從1.0%上調至1.3%。經濟合作與發展組織(OECD)也表達了積極態度,將2025年英國經濟增長預期從1.2%上調至1.7%。
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