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新西蘭平衡通貨膨脹與投資改革

新西蘭通貨膨脹保持在2%,預計下調利率

新西蘭2024年第四季度的年通貨膨脹率保持在2%,略高于預期,但仍在新西蘭儲備銀行(RBNZ)1-3%的目標範圍內。季度消費價格指數(CPI)上漲了0.5%,略低于前期0.6%的增幅。

(新西蘭CPI季度圖表,來源:Forex Factory)

(新西蘭CPI季度圖表,來源:Forex Factory)

數據顯示,價格壓力大致可控,進一步鞏固了市場對于在2月中央銀行會議上下調50個基點利率的預期。

新西蘭放寬投資規則以促進增長與創新

與此同時,新西蘭總理克裏斯托弗·盧克森宣布計劃放寬外資投資法規,吸引國際資本。這項舉措是其政府促進經濟增長、創造就業的戰略之一,旨在應對疲弱的經濟狀況。該國于2024年第三季度進入衰退,經濟活動的收縮超出預期。

此項政策旨在增加資本流入關鍵領域,包括銀行業、金融科技、交通、能源和制造業。盧克森強調,他的願景是鼓勵更多初創公司、首次公開募股(IPO)和創新,同時確保新西蘭能夠從高質量的全球投資中獲益。

紐元兌美元價格圖表的技術分析

(紐元兌美元每日價格圖表,來源:Trading View)

(紐元兌美元每日價格圖表,來源:Trading View)

紐元兌美元貨幣對的整體趨勢仍然看跌,表現在下降通道中的低點和低高點。然而,近期出現了顯著的看漲勢頭,突破當前結構是有可能的。如果價格成功突破這個矩形區域,它將形成更高的高點,並恢複其看漲勢頭。

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