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黃金因美聯儲利率預期下滑 

美元走強施壓黃金,美聯儲受關注 

周二,黃金下跌0.25%,收于每盎司2646美元。這主要是因為美元走強和國債收益率攀升給黃金帶來了壓力,投資者將目光聚焦于美聯儲今年最後一次政策會議,並對2025年逐步降息的預期日益增強。 

(XAUUSD日線價格圖表,來源:Trading View) 

(XAUUSD日線價格圖表,來源:Trading View) 

市場還在密切關注美聯儲的最新經濟預測和點陣圖,這可能會重新塑造市場對2025年至2026年利率走向的預期。市場目前關注的是美聯儲是否會比預期更鷹派或更鴿派。由于特朗普的政策議程,許多人預計美聯儲在當前階段將更加謹慎,為未來的進一步降息預留空間。 

與此同時,美國11月零售銷售數據好于預期,加上最近幾個月通脹數據較高,這表明美聯儲可能會在1月份暫停進一步降息。根據CME的FedWatch工具,本周降息25個基點的概率為95%,但1月份再次降息的可能性僅約為16%。 

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本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料僅供參考,旨在幫助讀者了解市場形勢,並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施確保資料的准確性,但不能保證資料的絕對准確性,並可能隨時更改,恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets對于因直接或間接使用或依賴此類資料而可能導致的任何損失或虧損(包括但不限于利潤損失)不承擔責任。 

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