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I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website周二,黃金下跌0.25%,收于每盎司2646美元。這主要是因為美元走強和國債收益率攀升給黃金帶來了壓力,投資者將目光聚焦于美聯儲今年最後一次政策會議,並對2025年逐步降息的預期日益增強。
(XAUUSD日線價格圖表,來源:Trading View)
市場還在密切關注美聯儲的最新經濟預測和點陣圖,這可能會重新塑造市場對2025年至2026年利率走向的預期。市場目前關注的是美聯儲是否會比預期更鷹派或更鴿派。由于特朗普的政策議程,許多人預計美聯儲在當前階段將更加謹慎,為未來的進一步降息預留空間。
與此同時,美國11月零售銷售數據好于預期,加上最近幾個月通脹數據較高,這表明美聯儲可能會在1月份暫停進一步降息。根據CME的FedWatch工具,本周降息25個基點的概率為95%,但1月份再次降息的可能性僅約為16%。
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