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美聯儲“鷹派”降息提振美元至兩年高位 

美聯儲如預期維持利率在4.25%不變 

周三，美聯儲將基准政策利率下調25個基點，達到4.25%-4.50%的區間。官員們暗示，由于勞動力市場條件保持穩定且通脹趨勢表現平穩，未來可能暫停進一步降息。這一鷹派基調推動美元上漲超過1%，創下兩年來新高。 

（美元指數圖表，來源：Trading View）

（美元指數圖表，來源：Trading View） 

美聯儲決策者上調了長期中性利率預期，大幅提高了2025年的通脹預測，並制定了明年進一步降息的計劃。然而，將較高的通脹預期與進一步的貨幣寬松相結合，在新聞發布會上對美聯儲主席鮑威爾來說是一項艱巨的挑戰。 

“在評估進一步調整目標區間的範圍和時機時，委員會將密切關注最新數據、不斷變化的經濟前景以及相關風險，” 鮑威爾表示，並補充了新的表述，表明可能從1月28-29日的會議開始暫停降息。 

此外，由于當選總統特朗普要到1月20日才上任，美聯儲官員也強調，貨幣政策不能基于仍存在不確定性的競選承諾。因此，美聯儲工作人員可能已經模擬了不同的情境。他們的預測顯示，明年經濟增長將高于潛力水平，達到2.1%，通脹將在未來兩年內超過目標水平，而失業率將保持在4.3%以下。 

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本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料僅供參考，旨在幫助讀者了解市場形勢，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施確保資料的准確性，但不能保證資料的絕對准確性，並可能隨時更改，恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets對于因直接或間接使用或依賴此類資料而可能導致的任何損失或虧損（包括但不限于利潤損失）不承擔責任。 

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