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歐元強勢反彈，反轉還需看美通脹 

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2025年 1月 15日的歐元兌美元深入分析。 

歐元兌美元基本面分析 

  • PPI數據：美國12月PPI數據較前值3%有所上升，續刷2023年2月以來新高。月率錄得0.2%，不及預期的0.3%，較前值0.4%有所降溫，為2024年9月以來新低。 
  • 施密德講話：堪薩斯城聯儲主席施密德，若特朗普關稅使通脹或就業偏離軌道，美聯儲將採取行動。 
  • 通脹數據：美國將公佈12月CPI數據，預計去年12月CPI年率將較去年11月的2.7%回升至2.9%，月率保持在0.3%不變；預計核心CPI同比增速預計為3.3%，高於美聯儲2%的目標，與前三個月持平。 

歐元兌美元技術分析 

歐元兌美元日線圖表分析 

（歐元兌美元的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4）

（歐元兌美元的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 公允價值缺口：圖表上黑色矩形框為下跌趨勢的公允價值缺口。昨日歐元兌美元開啟反彈趨勢，今日亞盤時段即將接近公允價值缺口。該缺口為強阻力價位，警惕匯價反彈受阻繼續下行。 
  • 裸K形態：昨日匯價強勢上漲，配合前兩個交易日蠟燭圖，形成啟明星的裸K形態，理論上這是築底反轉的信號。不過仍需等待匯價突破阻力缺口和下行趨勢線才可提升反轉概率。 

歐元兌美元1小時圖表分析 

（歐元兌美元1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

（歐元兌美元1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：指標進入超買區域，即將發出空頭信號。暗示今日亞盤時段，匯價或將優先下跌調整。 
  • 均線形態：紫色13週期均線剛上穿黑色65週期均線，暗示當前多頭力量佔據上風。但需等待黑色65週期均線上穿200週期均線才可明確多頭趨勢的來臨。 
  • 關鍵價位：若今日匯價加速突破上方1.03228阻力和上行通道線，則匯價本周將明確開啟一段時間的上漲趨勢。反之，匯價跌破1.02743這一關鍵支撐價位則短期依舊關注做空機會。 

歐元兌美元樞紐線指標 

（歐元兌美元的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

（歐元兌美元的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

  • 根據Ultima Markets APP的trading central樞紐線指標，當日中樞價位1.0270， 
  • 1.0270之上看漲，第一目標1.0335，第二目標1.0355 
  • 1.0270之下看跌，第一目標1.0255，第二目標1.0240 

免責聲明  

本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊，僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性，但不能保證資料的精確度，及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失（包括但不限於任何盈利的損失）負責。  

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