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中國貿易在全球挑戰中激增 

出口推動複蘇，貿易風險依然存在 

盡管中國的進口部門也出現反彈，但12月的出口貿易表現強勁，這可能是由于工廠預期特朗普政府下貿易緊張局勢加劇而加快出貨所致。 

根據周一發布的海關數據顯示，12月出口同比增長10.7%，超出預期的7.3%，並高于11月的6.7%。同時，進口增長1.0%，為2024年7月以來的最佳表現，扭轉了此前預測的1.5%下降。 

（中國進出口圖表，來源：CGAC） 

（中國進出口圖表，來源：CGAC） 

長期以來，出口一直是中國18萬億美元經濟體的支柱之一，但其仍在艱難應對長期的房地産市場低迷和消費者信心不足。最近的政策幹預幫助穩定了增長，使經濟回到完成2025年“約5%”增長目標的軌道。然而，美國關稅上調等挑戰使前景不確定。 

即將于下周重新執掌美國總統職位的唐納德·特朗普呼籲對中國進口商品征收高額關稅，引發了人們對中美兩大經濟體之間貿易沖突再次升級的擔憂。此外，與歐盟的爭端進一步加劇憂慮，後者對中國電動汽車征收高達45.3%的關稅。這些措施可能會阻礙中國擴大汽車出口的努力，並削弱通過解決産能過剩問題緩解通縮壓力的嘗試。 

免責聲明 

本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料僅供參考，旨在幫助讀者了解市場形勢，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施確保資料的准確性，但不能保證資料的絕對准確性，並可能隨時更改，恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets對于因直接或間接使用或依賴此類資料而可能導致的任何損失或虧損（包括但不限于利潤損失）不承擔責任。 

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