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加拿大零售銷售低于預期 

零售銷售疲軟拖累GDP增長 

上周五,加拿大10月零售銷售略低于預期,盡管新車銷售增長,但超市、雜貨店和酒類商店的消費疲軟拉低了整體表現。 

據加拿大統計局數據顯示,10月零售銷售涵蓋機動車、服裝、家具、食品和飲料等多個類別,總體增長了0.6%。報告指出,九個子行業中有五個實現了銷售增長。基于僅調查一半受訪者的初步估算,11月的零售銷售可能保持持平。 

(加拿大零售銷售月率圖表,來源:加拿大統計局) 

(加拿大零售銷售月率圖表,來源:加拿大統計局) 

(加拿大核心零售銷售月率圖表,來源:加拿大統計局) 

(加拿大核心零售銷售月率圖表,來源:加拿大統計局) 

零售銷售被視為國內生産總值(GDP)增長的早期指標,占總消費支出的近40%,是第三季度經濟擴張的主要驅動力。然而,加拿大第三季度經濟年化增長率僅為1%,低于加拿大央行的預測。早期指標顯示,第四季度GDP增長也可能低于央行的2%目標。10月的GDP數據定于本周一發布。 

分析師此前預計10月零售銷售增長0.7%,並預測扣除汽車及零部件後的銷售增長為0.5%。然而,剔除占零售總額四分之一以上的汽車子行業後,銷售僅溫和增長了0.1%。10月零售銷售總額小幅增長至675.8億加元,但經通脹調整後,銷量保持不變。 

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