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銅價反彈力度有限，關注上方做空機會 

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2024年 12月 27日的銅深入分析。 

銅基本面分析 

  • 銅的供需：供需角度看，2025年礦端的短缺將給銅價帶來下方較強的支撐，而精煉端的過剩將可能在銅價波動中起到助跌的作用。總體銅價可能呈現震盪-沖高-回落的走勢。 
  • 美元強勢或打壓銅價：美聯儲2025年降息次數的減少支撐美元仍然處於升值趨勢中。強勢美元打壓銅價，這導致以美元定價的大宗商品無法呈現明顯趨勢性上漲。 

銅技術分析 

銅日線圖表分析 

（銅的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4）

（銅的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：快線進入超賣區域，慢線未進入超賣區域，昨日發出多頭信號。暗示短期空頭流動性較差，當前上漲大概率為反彈。 
  • 阻力線：銅價昨日上漲突破短期震盪區間高點，同時接近紫色13日均線附近。該均線或將阻止銅價進一步上行。若仍然繼續反彈上行，則上方看向4.1251附近。 

銅1小時圖表分析 

（銅1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

（銅1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：指標在超買區域下方發出空頭信號，快線即將接近50中位線。亞盤時段銅價下跌趨勢或將放緩，警惕指標再度發出多頭信號，屆時可能出現頂背離的信號。 
  • 斐波那契擴展位：銅價當前受阻於均線組支撐，同時震盪波動處於橫盤區間。若銅價突破該震盪區間，也需警惕是否存在假突破可能性。上方關鍵阻力位看向斐波那契1.382倍的擴展位。 

銅Trading Central樞紐線指標 

（銅的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

（銅的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

  • 根據Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central樞紐線指標，當日中樞價位4.1590， 
  • 4.1590之上看漲，第一目標4.1885，第二目標4.2055 
  • 4.1590之下看跌，第一目標4.0935，第二目標4.0765 

免責聲明  

本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊，僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性，但不能保證資料的精確度，及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失（包括但不限於任何盈利的損失）負責。  

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槓桿類金融產品（包括差價合約）具有高風險，交易可能導致虧損超過您的初始投入。該類產品並不適合所有投資者，請確保僅使用可承受損失的資金進行交易。差價合約交易並不代表您擁有相關標的資產（例如：股息權益等）。請務必充分了解相關風險，並根據自身的投資經驗和目標，謹慎判斷是否適合參與交易。如有需要，建議尋求獨立的財務顧問意見。所有交易決策前，請仔細閱讀我們的法律文件及風險披露。

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監管信息：

Ultima Markets 是多個在不同司法轄區運營的實體共用的交易品牌。下列實體均獲正式授權，使用 Ultima Markets 品牌及商標開展業務。

  • Ultima Markets UK Limited（參考編號 470325）獲英國金融行為監管局（FCA）授權並受其監管。註冊地址：英國倫敦 E1 6RS，Blossom Yard 1 號，四樓。

  • Ultima Markets (Mauritius) Ltd 持有模里西斯金融服務委員會（FSC）頒發的全牌照投資商執照（不含包銷業務），牌照編號為 GB 23201593。

    註冊地址：2nd Floor, The Catalyst, 40 Silicon Avenue, Ebene Cybercity, 72201, Mauritius。

  • Ultima Markets EU OÜ 於愛沙尼亞註冊成立，註冊編號為 17134727。註冊地址：Harju maakond, Tallinn, Kristiine linnaosa, Seebi tn 1-1501, 11316。Ultima Markets EU OÜ 代表 Ultima Markets 集團旗下其他持牌實體提供服務，包括但不限於支付服務。該實體不提供受監管金融產品，亦不提供交易服務。

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