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鷹派降息黃金大跌，獲利資金離場反彈在即 

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2024年 12月 19日的黃金深入分析。 

黃金基本面分析 

  • 美聯儲鷹派降息：美聯儲12月利率決議如期降息25基點，聲明暗示放緩降息步伐。點陣圖顯示，明年降息幅度預測從4次調整為2次。降息預期直接砍半，美元指數暴力拉升120點，現貨黃金盤中跳水。 
  • 鮑威爾態度：美聯儲主席鮑威爾發佈會上稱，未來考慮利率調整時可以更謹慎，路徑取決於降低通脹方面取得更多進展。可能還需要一兩年的時間才能達到通脹目標。明年不太可能加息。 

黃金技術分析 

黃金日線圖表分析 

（黃金的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

（黃金的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：快線在50中位線上方發出空頭信號，隨後快速跌至下半區域，暗示短期空頭趨勢強勁。 
  • 上行趨勢線：黃金昨日快速下跌，跌破上行趨勢線。在亞盤時段，獲利資金離場或帶動金價反彈上行。 
  • 關鍵支撐位：金價即將接近訂單塊（OB）水準價位2566.46附近。在沒有跌破該支撐價位前，黃金仍有繼續上漲概率。反之則下方空間徹底打開後，金價將看向綠色200日均線附近。 

黃金1小時圖表分析 

（黃金1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

（黃金1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：指標在超賣區域發出多頭信號，暗示空頭撤退，獲利資金離場。亞盤時段市價或將反彈上漲。 
  • 斐波那契回撤位：短期金價以反彈上漲為主，關注下跌趨勢的斐波那契回撤位。第一目標至少看向50%回撤位，屆時也是紅色13週期均線附近。 

黃金Trading Central樞紐線指標 

（黃金的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP）

（黃金的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

  • 根據Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central樞紐線指標，當日中樞價位2613， 
  • 2613之上看漲，第一目標2633，第二目標2651 
  • 2613之下看跌，第一目標2576，第二目標2557 

免責聲明  

本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊，僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性，但不能保證資料的精確度，及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失（包括但不限於任何盈利的損失）負責。  

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