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美元維持強勢，歐元下方空間徹底打開 

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2025年 1月 3日的歐元兌美元深入分析。 

歐元兌美元基本面分析 

  • 利差推動美元繼續升值：歐洲央行將在2025年大幅降息，市場已經定價至少四次25個基點的降息，而對於美聯儲是否會進行兩次類似的降息，市場還存在不確定性。美元指數向上觸及109關口，續刷2022年11月以來新高。 
  • 歐洲央行管委斯圖納拉斯：預計到今年秋季歐洲央行的利率將下調至2%。美國基準的10年期美債收益率收報4.5680%；對貨幣政策更敏感的兩年期美債收益率收報4.2620%。 

歐元兌美元技術分析 

歐元兌美元日線圖表分析 

（歐元兌美元的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4）

（歐元兌美元的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：指標未到50中位線便再度發出空頭信號，暗示當前空頭力量佔據上風，交易者值得重點關注做空機會。 
  • 市場結構轉換：歐元兌美元在昨日快速下跌，最終收盤價收在多空轉換線1.03403下方。強勢的下跌趨勢預示今日亞盤有極大概率回調，隨後將繼續開展下行趨勢。 

歐元兌美元1小時圖表分析 

（歐元兌美元1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

（歐元兌美元1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：指標昨日美盤時段發出多頭信號，今日指標在亞盤時段極大概率將延續上漲趨勢，關注指標在50中位線附近時匯價表現。 
  • 上方阻力重重：歐元兌美元價即將接近紫色13週期均線，由於均線在公允價值缺口內部，因此匯價反彈的第一目標更傾向於看向公允價值缺口的上沿，第二目標看向1.03162這一訂單塊開盤價附近。 

歐元兌美元樞紐線指標 

（歐元兌美元的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

（歐元兌美元的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

  • 根據Ultima Markets APP的trading central樞紐線指標，當日中樞價位1.0239， 
  • 1.0239之上看漲，第一目標1.0299，第二目標1.0315 
  • 1.0239之下看跌，第一目標1.0211，第二目標1.0195 

免責聲明  

本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊，僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性，但不能保證資料的精確度，及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失（包括但不限於任何盈利的損失）負責。 

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