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美元指數”逢高賣出”仍是順勢操作

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2026年1月29日的USDX深入分析

USDX 技術分析

USDX 日線圖表分析

USDX 技術分析

(USDX 日線圖,來源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 市場偏空。自2025年11月以來,指數遭遇劇烈拋售,突破多條移動平均線,並抹去了9月至11月的漲幅。價格正在測試96.00的關鍵支撐位。下行動能依然強勁,但超賣振盪指標顯示此次下跌可能已過度延伸,有可能導致短期盤整。交易者應謹慎行事。在超賣狀態下於96.00做空存在風險。跌破96.00將發出進一步拋售信號,而守住該水平則可能意味著震盪橫盤走勢。
  • 關鍵價位:直接阻力位於97.35–97.60,這是一個前盤整區域,舊支撐位現在轉為阻力位。關鍵阻力位98.25–98.50標誌著紫色和黑色移動平均線的匯合點;突破該位消除看空傾向。主要阻力位於心理關口100.00,即2025年11月的波段峰值。下行方面,關鍵支撐位96.00–96.12對應2025年6-7月雙底,價格正在此地徘徊。跌破該位將目標指向95.50,若拋售加速則進一步朝94.60–95.00。

USDX 2小時圖表分析

USDX 技術分析

(USDX 2小時圖,來源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 2小時時間框架演出強勁的空方趨勢,特徵是從99.00急劇下跌至95.30附近的低點。市場已進入盤整階段,價格試圖反彈但在直接動態水平遇到阻力。隨機振盪指標顯示這次短期反彈可能正在失去動能。
  • 突破情景:主要看跌觀點預期隨機指標從超買向下交叉,同時價格在紫色移動平均線處受阻,跌破95.80的觸發信號將確認反彈告終,並目標重新測試95.30低點,然後可能以高波動性恢復下跌趨勢。另一種情況是,如果市場守住96.00並收高96.30,突破紫色移動平均線並觸發均值回歸交易,目標指向97.00的黑色移動平均線,則可能出現看多擠壓,儘管這種逆勢情景風險較高。

USDX 樞紐線指標

USDX 技術分析

(USDX 30分鐘圖,來源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 短線反彈嘗試失敗後仍保持看跌。隨著動能強烈傾向下行,阻力最小的路徑指向重新測試96.00的下方。除非出現明確的反轉形態,否則交易者應避免逢低買入。
  • 看空延續:在96.60遭遇劇烈拒絕後,空頭正在積極推低價格。30分鐘K線收低96.00觸發賣壓,立即暴露95.80,若該水平失守,則導致價格下滑至95.30的主要低點。
  • 企穩/死貓跳:超賣的隨機指標和急速下跌顯示出小幅反彈或橫盤走勢的可能性。如果價格守住96.05–96.10,且隨機指標回升至20之上,則可能重新測試96.25的已破位移動平均線,但任何未能收於96.30上方的走勢都應被視為形成更低高點的賣出機會。

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