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瑞郎大跌，但短期仍難突破阻力 

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2024年 12月 13日的美元兌瑞郎深入分析。 

美元兌瑞郎基本面分析 

  • 瑞士央行降息：大幅降息50個基點，市場預期為降息25個基點，該行表示，準備在必要時干預外匯市場。 
  • 瑞郎的貶值預期：瑞郎升值對瑞士出口商來說是另一個令人頭疼的問題，在歐洲需求疲軟的情況下，瑞郎的升值使其出口產品更加昂貴。瑞士央行一直以來希望瑞郎貶值擴大出口，因此超預期降息是為了擴大美瑞利差，從而先發制人地遏制瑞郎的過度走強。 

美元兌瑞郎技術分析 

美元兌瑞郎日線圖表分析 

（美元兌瑞郎的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

（美元兌瑞郎的日線圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：指標在50中位線下方再度發出上漲信號，暗示短期多頭力量佔據上風。但是基於前期下跌並未進入超賣區域，匯價調整週期過短，能否突破前高仍然需要警惕。 
  • 均線支撐：美元兌瑞郎觸及9月份以來上升趨勢38.2%的斐波那契回撤位，同時也是均線組相交的價位，強支撐效應讓匯價短期受阻反彈上行。值得注意的是，調整週期不足20個交易日，匯價或遇阻前高再度下跌。 

美元兌瑞郎1小時圖表分析 

（美元兌瑞郎1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

（美元兌瑞郎1小時圖，來源Ultima Markets MT4） 

  • 隨機震盪指標：指標在超買區域發出空頭信號，亞盤時段匯價或將調整下行。儘管目前指標有再度上漲的跡象，但是需警惕與匯價形成頂背離的頂部信號。 
  • 支撐價位：目前匯價高位調整震盪，下方為公允價值缺口（FVG）。一旦跌破FVG，則下一目標看向上行通道線，同時也是紅色33週期均線附近。 

美元兌瑞郎Trading Central樞紐線指標 

（美元兌瑞郎的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

（美元兌瑞郎的30分鐘圖，來源Ultima Markets APP） 

  • 根據Ultima Markets APP中的Trading Central樞紐線指標，當日中樞價位0.8870， 
  • 0.8870之上看漲，第一目標0.8955，第二目標0.8985 
  • 0.8870之下看跌，第一目標0.8845，第二目標0.8815 

免責聲明  

本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊，僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供，並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性，但不能保證資料的精確度，及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失（包括但不限於任何盈利的損失）負責。  

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