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美国生产者价格增幅低于预期 

美联储在生产者价格增长放缓的背景下保持立场 

美国12月生产者价格增幅低于预期,这一增幅主要得益于服务价格的稳定,抵消了商品成本的上升。这表明尽管前几个月出现了一定程度的停滞,通胀仍然呈下降趋势。 

美国劳工部统计局表示,最终需求的生产者价格指数(PPI)在12月上涨了0.2%,而11月的预测增幅为0.4%。经济学家原本预测PPI将上涨0.3%,但实际数据与经济学家的共识有所偏差。 

(美国PPI月度环比图表,来源:劳工统计局)

(美国PPI月度环比图表,来源:劳工统计局) 

与此同时,剔除食品、能源和贸易的核心PPI连续第二个月上涨0.1%。按年率计算,核心PPI增长3.3%,低于11月的3.5%。然而,一些经济学家警告不要过度解读12月PPI的温和增长,认为生产者价格在12月通常会趋于疲软。 

(美国核心PPI月度环比图表,来源:劳工统计局) 

(美国核心PPI月度环比图表,来源:劳工统计局) 

尽管劳工部周二报告的生产者通胀有所缓和,但市场普遍认为,美联储至少要到今年下半年才可能再次降息。这是由于强劲的劳动力市场以及特朗普当选总统提议的进口商品关税可能带来的通胀压力。 

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本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料仅供参考,旨在帮助读者了解市场形势,并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性,但不能保证资料的绝对准确性,并可能随时更改,恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets对于因直接或间接使用或依赖此类资料而可能导致的任何损失或亏损(包括但不限于利润损失)不承担责任。 

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