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贸易战升级,黄金再创新高

贸易战升级,黄金再创新高

贸易紧张局势进一步加剧,特朗普威胁对欧盟酒类进口征收200%关税,加剧了与欧盟和加拿大的冲突。这两个经济体此前已对美国的钢铁和铝关税实施了报复性关税。

作为回应,欧盟和加拿大立即宣布反制关税,而其他国家(包括澳大利亚、英国、日本和巴西)虽然批评了该举措,但尚未出台具体措施。

贸易战担忧:更多报复性措施即将到来?

今年2月,特朗普指示政府制定对等关税计划,考虑贸易逆差、现有关税和增值税等因素。美国商务部长鲁特尼克(Lutnick)表示,该方案预计将在2025年4月1日最终敲定。

与此同时,经济学家警告称,特朗普的政策可能使美国面临更严厉的报复性关税,进而损害贸易、加剧经济不确定性,并推高通胀水平。

特朗普:“我决不会让步”

在与北约秘书长马克·吕特(Mark Rutt)于白宫椭圆办公室的会谈中,当被问及关税计划时,特朗普明确表示: “我们被剥削多年,现在不会再让步了。”

特朗普强调,他不会改变对其他国家的“对等关税”*计划,特别是针对那些对美国产品设立贸易壁垒的国家。白宫已表示,这些关税将于4月2日正式生效。

贸易战或进一步升级,市场承压

随着对等关税计划即将敲定,全球贸易紧张局势可能进一步升级,引发各国的报复性措施。这可能导致一场比特朗普第一任期更大规模的贸易战,当时冲突主要集中在中美之间。

股市持续下跌,投资者对贸易战升级的担忧加剧,市场情绪趋于悲观。

黄金飙升至历史新高

昨日,黄金(XAUUSD)飙升至历史新高,触及2,990美元,逼近关键的3,000美元心理关口。贸易战升级促使投资者纷纷转向避险资产,推动黄金价格强势上涨。

(XAUUSD,4小时图;来源:TradingView)

从技术角度来看,此次突破暗示金价可能进一步走高,下一个关键阻力位在3,000美元。此外,根据斐波那契扩展计算,黄金的下一个主要阻力位可能在3,030美元左右。

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