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美联储终于开启降息大门 

周三,美联储将利率下调50个基点至5%,导致美元出现显著波动。最初,美元在声明发布后下跌,但在主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会后收复了部分失地。最终,美元在震荡交易后下跌0.08%,收盘于100.93。 

(美国联邦基金利率,来源:Forex Factory) 

(美元指数日线图,来源:Trading View) 

在新闻发布会上,鲍威尔强调,他不认为近期会出现经济衰退或经济下滑。美联储的主要目标是稳定通胀,同时防止失业率上升。鲍威尔还指出,50个基点的降息显示出美联储对实现这些目标的强烈承诺。 

共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普对降息发表了评论,称其为“大幅度降息”,并猜测如此大幅度的削减可能表明经济非常疲软,除非美联储是在玩弄政治。 

此外,决策者预计到今年年底,美联储的基准利率将再下调50个基点,到2026年将进一步累计下调1.5个百分点,最终降至2.75%-3.00%的区间。 

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