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澳大利亚储备银行维持利率在4.35%不变 

澳储行显示温和鹰派立场 

周二,澳大利亚储备银行在12月的政策会议上维持现金利率在4.35%不变,显示出更温和的鹰派倾向。随着澳储行接近可能加入全球同行降息的步伐,未来的政策决定依然依赖于数据,这意味着最早可能在2月进行政策调整。 
 

(澳大利亚储备银行现金利率,来源:Forex Factory) 

(澳大利亚储备银行现金利率,来源:Forex Factory) 

市场普遍预期利率维持不变,但部分人士推测,由于第三季度经济增长低于预期,澳储行可能转向鸽派。尽管劳动力市场表现出韧性(部分由公共部门就业增加支撑),工资增长仍低于预期。 

针对2月可能降息的问题,澳储行行长米歇尔·布洛克表示,目前尚不确定,需要等待包括季度通胀数据、劳动力市场状况以及消费指标在内的关键数据后再作决定。 

布洛克提到:“到目前为止,我们认为各项发展与我们的预测一致。如果这种趋势持续下去,我们可能最终会确信通胀正在回归目标区间,从而使我们能够考虑降息。” 

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